Latest trade
Oct 7, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 22, 8:06 PM UTC.
Analytics
realmgow is down $11.29 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 50 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-10-06 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Oct 7, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 22, 8:06 PM UTC.
$1.09 median trade
Its latest 50 trades covered 44 markets; 68.0% were buys. They run from Sep 26, 2026 UTC to Oct 7, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026? | No | 3.06 | $0.480 | $3.05 | +$1.58 |
 Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 4.5 | $0.250 | $1.13 | 15d ago |
 |
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-10-06 21:54 UTC
Polymarket public position response
30 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-22 20:06 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
50 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-22 20:06 UTC
polymarket positions
52 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-10-06 21:54 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $40.44 and losing ones cost $11.23 across the latest 50 settled positions. 76% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $6.25 on “Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?” (No); the largest loss, $3.37 on “Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in August?” (No).
Its most recent trade on record was on 7 Oct 2026. It has traded 149 markets. Its open positions are worth $37.14 across 30 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| No |
| 5.38 |
| $0.496 |
| $3.02 |
| +$0.35 |
 Will Jared Kushner attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? | No | 3.09 | $0.350 | $2.02 | +$0.94 |
 Will the Republican Party win the NV-02 House seat? | No | 5.23 | $0.220 | $2.01 | +$0.86 |
 Will François Hollande be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? | No | 2.29 | $0.510 | $1.85 | +$0.68 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? | No | 2.03 | $0.700 | $1.82 | +$0.4 |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31? | No | 2.14 | $0.490 | $1.65 | +$0.6 |
 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | No | 2.04 | $0.540 | $1.58 | +$0.48 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 2.3 | $0.470 | $1.53 | +$0.45 |
 Will SB Energy's market cap be between $40B and $50B at market close on IPO day? | No | 1.46 | $0.740 | $1.46 | +$0.38 |
 Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? | No | 2.29 | $0.510 | $1.46 | +$0.29 |
 Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | No | 2.03 | $0.650 | $1.37 | +$0.05 |
 Will Stefan Evers be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin? | No | 1.52 | $0.710 | $1.36 | +$0.28 |
 Will Allyson win the 2026 Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial election? | No | 4.38 | $0.240 | $1.33 | +$0.28 |
| Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027? | No | 2.56 | $0.450 | $1.24 | +$0.09 |
 Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026? | No | 2 | $0.529 | $1.22 | +$0.16 |
 Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | No | 5.13 | $0.388 | $1.22 | -$0.77 |
 Will Republicans sweep the Alaska Senate and Governor elections? | No | 1.42 | $0.840 | $1.19 | $0 |
 Will the Republican Party hold exactly 49 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | No | 1.26 | $0.870 | $1.12 | +$0.02 |
 Will a coin launched in 2026 end the year in the top 50? | No | 2.29 | $0.510 | $1.09 | -$0.08 |
 Will Ethereum dip to $2,250 by December 31, 2026? | No | 3.06 | $0.480 | $1 | -$0.47 |
 No one announced as next James Bond? | Yes | 5.18 | $0.284 | $0.96 | -$0.51 |
 Will Minnesota Vikings win the 2026 NFC North? | No | 1.52 | $0.810 | $0.83 | -$0.4 |
 Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026? | No | 4.38 | $0.240 | $0.72 | -$0.33 |
 Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | No | 2.04 | $0.530 | $0.66 | -$0.42 |
| buy |
| 2.03 |
| $0.700 |
| $1.42 |
| 15d ago |
| Will the Republican Party win the NV-02 House seat?No | buy | 5.23 | $0.220 | $1.15 | 15d ago |
| Will Republicans sweep the Alaska Senate and Governor elections?No | buy | 1.42 | $0.840 | $1.19 | 15d ago |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?No | buy | 2.03 | $0.650 | $1.32 | 15d ago |
| Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026?No | buy | 2 | $0.529 | $1.06 | 17d ago |
 Will Brazil's Q3 2026 GDP growth rate (QoQ) be between -0.3% and -0.1%?No | sell | 1.94 | $0.690 | $1.34 | 17d ago |
| Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?No | buy | 2.56 | $0.450 | $1.15 | 18d ago |
| Will François Hollande be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?No | buy | 2.29 | $0.510 | $1.17 | 18d ago |
| Will a coin launched in 2026 end the year in the top 50?No | buy | 2.29 | $0.510 | $1.17 | 18d ago |
 Will the Fed Pause-Hike-Pause in the next three decisions (Oct-Dec-Jan)?No | sell | 1.7 | $0.490 | $0.83 | 18d ago |
| Will Allyson win the 2026 Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial election?No | buy | 4.38 | $0.240 | $1.05 | 18d ago |
 Will Lai Jui-lung win the next Kaohsiung Mayor election?No | buy | 2.56 | $0.430 | $1.1 | 18d ago |
| Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 15?Yes | sell | 2.96 | $0.340 | $1.01 | 18d ago |
 Will Steve Witkoff attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 1.7 | $0.470 | $0.8 | 19d ago |
 Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on October 3?No | buy | 2.45 | $0.440 | $1.08 | 19d ago |
 Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on October 3?No | buy | 3.09 | $0.350 | $1.08 | 19d ago |
 Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 96-97°F on October 3?Yes | buy | 3.08 | $0.380 | $1.17 | 19d ago |
| Will the Fed Pause-Hike-Pause in the next three decisions (Oct-Dec-Jan)?No | buy | 1.78 | $0.590 | $1.05 | 19d ago |
| Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 2.29 | $0.510 | $1.17 | 20d ago |
| Will Jared Kushner attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 3.09 | $0.350 | $1.08 | 20d ago |
| Will Steve Witkoff attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.78 | $0.590 | $1.05 | 20d ago |
| Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 4.7 | $0.230 | $1.08 | 20d ago |
| Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 15?Yes | buy | 3.08 | $0.360 | $1.11 | 21d ago |
| Will Elon tweet 880-919 times in September 2026?No | buy | 1.52 | $0.750 | $1.14 | 22d ago |
 Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C on October 1?No | buy | 2.03 | $0.620 | $1.26 | 22d ago |
 Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | buy | 2.54 | $0.460 | $1.17 | 22d ago |
| Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?No | buy | 2.04 | $0.530 | $1.08 | 22d ago |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No | buy | 5.38 | $0.496 | $2.67 | 22d ago |
| Will Elon tweet 840-879 times in September 2026?Yes | sell | 3.96 | $0.730 | $2.89 | 22d ago |
 Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?No | sell | 2.45 | $0.319 | $0.78 | 22d ago |
| No change in Reserve Bank of New Zealand's interest rates at the October 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 2.05 | $0.240 | $0.49 | 22d ago |
 Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Federal District?No | sell | 5.02 | $0.050 | $0.25 | 22d ago |
 Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | sell | 4.49 | $0.140 | $0.63 | 22d ago |
| Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 1.7 | $0.995 | $1.69 | 22d ago |
 Will Elif Eralp be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin?No | sell | 1.95 | $0.190 | $0.37 | 22d ago |
 Will Trump and Putin not meet?Yes | sell | 1.95 | $0.210 | $0.41 | 22d ago |
 Will Carol de Toni win the most votes in the 2026 Santa Catarina Senate election?No | buy | 4.13 | $0.300 | $1.24 | 22d ago |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?No | sell | 3.46 | $0.032 | $0.11 | 23d ago |
| Will Elon tweet 840-879 times in September 2026?Yes | buy | 4.13 | $0.300 | $1.24 | 24d ago |
 Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on September 29?No | buy | 2.72 | $0.390 | $1.06 | 24d ago |
 Will Madonna win Artist of the Year at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards?No | buy | 1.62 | $0.690 | $1.12 | 24d ago |
 Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 22°C on September 27?No | buy | 1.26 | $0.870 | $1.1 | 25d ago |
 Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on September 27?No | sell | 1.4 | $0.999 | $1.4 | 25d ago |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on September 27?Yes | buy | 1.05K | $0.001 | $1.05 | 25d ago |
| Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on September 27?No | buy | 1.46 | $0.740 | $1.08 | 25d ago |
 Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 31°C on September 27?No | buy | 2.45 | $0.440 | $1.08 | 25d ago |
 Republican House odds hit 15% by October 31?Yes | sell | 4.5 | $0.070 | $0.32 | 26d ago |
 Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on September 26?Yes | buy | 1.83 | $0.640 | $1.17 | 26d ago |
 Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on September 26?No | buy | 2.04 | $0.530 | $1.08 | 26d ago |
4 of 6 axes ranked against the 121 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 2 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.