Latest trade
Oct 21, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 22, 12:11 AM UTC.
Analytics
LazarP is down $42.05 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 50 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-10-13 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Oct 21, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 22, 12:11 AM UTC.
$5 median trade
Its latest 50 trades covered 40 markets; 74.0% were buys. They run from Feb 16, 2026 UTC to Oct 21, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | Yes | 38.46 | $0.130 | $15.96 | +$10.96 |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 12.05 | $0.830 | $10 | 15h ago |
 |
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-10-13 13:59 UTC
Polymarket public position response
10 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-22 00:11 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
50 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-22 00:11 UTC
polymarket positions
52 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-10-13 13:59 UTC
Last checked just now.
Winning positions brought in $39.65 and losing ones cost $56.75 across the latest 50 settled positions. 66% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $5.63 on “US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?” (No); the largest loss, $10 on “Odds of Khamenei being out as Supreme Leader by March 31 over 20% in February?” (No).
Its most recent trade on record was on 21 Oct 2026. It has traded 76 markets. Its open positions are worth $68.41 across 10 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| No |
| 11.11 |
| $0.900 |
| $10.17 |
| +$0.17 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? | No | 12.05 | $0.830 | $9.58 | -$0.42 |
 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | Yes | 10 | $0.500 | $6.65 | +$1.65 |
 Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30, 2027? | Yes | 8.47 | $0.590 | $5.04 | +$0.04 |
 Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? | No | 5.38 | $0.930 | $5.03 | +$0.03 |
| Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027? | No | 6.58 | $0.760 | $4.93 | -$0.07 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 5.89 | $0.850 | $4.92 | -$0.09 |
 Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Yes | 16.13 | $0.310 | $4.27 | -$0.73 |
 Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | Yes | 10.7 | $0.187 | $1.86 | -$0.14 |
| buy |
| 6.58 |
| $0.760 |
| $5 |
| 15h ago |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | buy | 5.88 | $0.850 | $5 | 15h ago |
| Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30, 2027?Yes | buy | 8.47 | $0.590 | $5 | 15h ago |
 Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 7.14 | $0.700 | $5 | 21d ago |
| EU country blames Russia for new sabotage attack by December 31?Yes | buy | 6.17 | $0.810 | $5 | 21d ago |
| Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Yes | buy | 10.7 | $0.187 | $2 | 21d ago |
| Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by June 30, 2027?No | buy | 5.49 | $0.910 | $5 | 21d ago |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | buy | 16.13 | $0.310 | $5 | 21d ago |
 Russia x Ukraine Peace ComboNo | sell | 2.12 | $0.971 | $2.06 | 21d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 3.84 | $0.820 | $3.15 | 21d ago |
 Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?No | sell | 5.95 | $0.973 | $5.79 | 21d ago |
 Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?No | sell | 6.09 | $0.979 | $5.96 | 21d ago |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | sell | 10.51 | $0.860 | $9.04 | 21d ago |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No | sell | 9.52 | $0.967 | $9.21 | 21d ago |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | buy | 3.57 | $0.840 | $3 | Sep 21, 2026 UTC |
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 13.88 | $0.155 | $2.15 | Sep 21, 2026 UTC |
| Russia x Ukraine Peace ComboNo | buy | 2.13 | $0.940 | $2 | Sep 10, 2026 UTC |
| Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by June 30, 2027?No | buy | 5.62 | $0.890 | $5 | Sep 10, 2026 UTC |
| Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?No | buy | 5.38 | $0.930 | $5 | Sep 10, 2026 UTC |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 3.85 | $0.780 | $3 | Sep 10, 2026 UTC |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseYes | buy | 10 | $0.500 | $5 | Sep 10, 2026 UTC |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Yes | buy | 38.46 | $0.130 | $5 | Sep 10, 2026 UTC |
 Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 8.33 | $0.480 | $4 | Jun 4, 2026 UTC |
 US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?No | buy | 7.14 | $0.700 | $5 | Jun 4, 2026 UTC |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 12.82 | $0.390 | $5 | May 28, 2026 UTC |
 Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 achieve a successful splashdown?Yes | buy | 7.04 | $0.710 | $5 | May 19, 2026 UTC |
| Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy explode?No | buy | 26.32 | $0.190 | $5 | May 19, 2026 UTC |
 Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 6.1 | $0.820 | $5 | May 19, 2026 UTC |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | buy | 6.94 | $0.720 | $5 | May 19, 2026 UTC |
 Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 3.33 | $0.880 | $2.93 | Apr 22, 2026 UTC |
 Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?No | buy | 10.53 | $0.950 | $10 | Apr 16, 2026 UTC |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?No | buy | 15.63 | $0.640 | $10 | Apr 16, 2026 UTC |
 US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?No | buy | 6.25 | $0.800 | $5 | Apr 16, 2026 UTC |
 Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?No | buy | 5.78 | $0.173 | $1 | Apr 15, 2026 UTC |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?No | buy | 5.38 | $0.930 | $5 | Apr 13, 2026 UTC |
 Will Trump praise Allah again by April 15?No | buy | 11.11 | $0.900 | $10 | Apr 13, 2026 UTC |
| Will Trump praise Allah again by April 15?No | buy | 5.56 | $0.900 | $5 | Apr 13, 2026 UTC |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?Yes | sell | 12.5 | $0.100 | $1.25 | Apr 13, 2026 UTC |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?Yes | buy | 12.5 | $0.320 | $4 | Mar 17, 2026 UTC |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes | sell | 10.86 | $0.430 | $4.67 | Mar 17, 2026 UTC |
 US forces enter Iran by March 31?No | buy | 2.81 | $0.640 | $1.8 | Mar 5, 2026 UTC |
 Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?No | sell | 8.88 | $0.180 | $1.6 | Mar 5, 2026 UTC |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No | buy | 9.52 | $0.840 | $8 | Feb 25, 2026 UTC |
 Netanyahu out by end of 2026?Yes | sell | 10.86 | $0.380 | $4.13 | Feb 25, 2026 UTC |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?Yes | sell | 11.11 | $0.370 | $4.11 | Feb 25, 2026 UTC |
 Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 8.67 | $0.840 | $7.28 | Feb 16, 2026 UTC |
 Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 10.21 | $0.979 | $10 | Feb 16, 2026 UTC |
 Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by June 30?No | buy | 6.25 | $0.800 | $5 | Feb 16, 2026 UTC |
 Ukraine hits Moscow by February 28, 2026?Yes | buy | 22.73 | $0.044 | $1 | Feb 16, 2026 UTC |
4 of 6 axes ranked against the 121 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 2 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.