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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
GTA 6 launch postponed again? | No | 19.89 | $0.832 | $18.6 | +$2.05 |
Foreign intervention in Gaza by September 30? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
LAPTOP FDV above $250M one day after launch?No | buy | 31.18 | $0.440 | $13.72 | 1d ago |
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| No |
| 5.47 |
| $0.950 |
| $5.36 |
| +$0.16 |
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | No | 5.42 | $0.922 | $5.22 | +$0.22 |
Epstein confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31? | No | 5.15 | $0.971 | $5.09 | +$0.09 |
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | No | 5.24 | $0.953 | $5.07 | +$0.07 |
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027? | No | 5.19 | $0.963 | $5.06 | +$0.06 |
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? | No | 5.34 | $0.935 | $5.05 | +$0.05 |
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | No | 5.09 | $0.982 | $4.99 | -$0.01 |
LAPTOP FDV above $250M one day after launch? | No | 31.18 | $0.440 | $4.37 | -$9.35 |
Will Iran target Qatar by September 15, 2026? | No | 2.9 | $0.690 | $2.46 | +$0.46 |
Elon Bull Run Combo | No | 2.19 | $0.912 | $2.06 | +$0.06 |
Will Trump endorse any candidate for President before 2027? | No | 1.14 | $0.880 | $1.05 | +$0.05 |
Nothing Ever Happens: Obama | Nothing | 1.12 | $0.890 | $1.05 | +$0.05 |
Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026? | No | 1.06 | $0.940 | $1.03 | +$0.03 |
Trump tries to fire Lisa Cook by September 30? | No | 1.2 | $0.830 | $1.01 | +$0.01 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? | No | 1.03 | $0.972 | $1.01 | +$0.01 |
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 1.04 | $0.958 | $0.96 | -$0.04 |
| buy |
| 4.42 |
| $0.950 |
| $4.2 |
| 8d ago |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?No | buy | 1.03 | $0.972 | $1 | 8d ago |
Will Iran target Qatar by September 15, 2026?No | buy | 2.9 | $0.690 | $2 | 8d ago |
Trump tries to fire Lisa Cook by September 30?No | buy | 1.2 | $0.830 | $1 | 8d ago |
Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 9, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.14 | $0.880 | $1 | 8d ago |
Foreign intervention in Gaza by September 30?No | buy | 1.05 | $0.950 | $1 | 8d ago |
Indiana lions in custody by September 4, 2026 11:59 PM ET?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.994 | $1 | 8d ago |
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?No | buy | 3.11 | $0.964 | $3 | 8d ago |
Elon Bull Run ComboNo | buy | 1.02 | $0.985 | $1 | 12d ago |
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?No | buy | 1.04 | $0.963 | $1 | 12d ago |
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.979 | $1 | 12d ago |
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No | buy | 1.04 | $0.962 | $1 | 12d ago |
Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?No | buy | 6.92 | $0.910 | $6.3 | 25d ago |
Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 31?No | buy | 5.32 | $0.940 | $5 | 25d ago |
Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?Yes | buy | 11.3 | $0.978 | $11.05 | Aug 1, 2026 |
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?No | sell | 1.63 | $0.640 | $1.04 | Aug 1, 2026 |
GTA 6 launch postponed again?No | buy | 7.04 | $0.930 | $6.55 | Jul 29, 2026 |
Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 6.57 | $0.890 | $5.85 | Jul 24, 2026 |
GTA 6 launch postponed again?No | buy | 5.49 | $0.910 | $5 | Jul 24, 2026 |
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No | buy | 2.03 | $0.987 | $2 | Jul 24, 2026 |
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No | buy | 2.11 | $0.950 | $2 | Jul 24, 2026 |
Epstein confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31?No | buy | 2.04 | $0.981 | $2 | Jul 24, 2026 |
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?No | buy | 2.11 | $0.950 | $2 | Jul 24, 2026 |
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?No | buy | 2.04 | $0.979 | $2 | Jul 24, 2026 |
President Trump to Attend World Cup Final?Yes | buy | 10.46 | $0.976 | $10.21 | Jul 19, 2026 |
Epstein confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.978 | $1 | Jul 14, 2026 |
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.979 | $1 | Jul 14, 2026 |
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?No | buy | 1.04 | $0.960 | $1 | Jul 14, 2026 |
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No | buy | 1.08 | $0.930 | $1 | Jul 14, 2026 |
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?No | buy | 1.64 | $0.610 | $1 | Jul 14, 2026 |
Will Trump pardon SBF by July 31?No | buy | 10.03 | $0.997 | $10 | Jul 14, 2026 |
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by July 17, 2026?Yes | buy | 10.05 | $0.995 | $10 | Jul 14, 2026 |
President Trump to Attend World Cup Final?Yes | buy | 10.43 | $0.959 | $10 | Jul 14, 2026 |
UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)Max Holloway | buy | 14.93 | $0.670 | $10 | Jul 7, 2026 |
Will Egypt win on 2026-07-07?No | buy | 5.49 | $0.910 | $5 | Jul 5, 2026 |
Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?No | buy | 7.5 | $0.800 | $6 | Jul 5, 2026 |
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-07-03?No | buy | 5.2 | $0.961 | $5 | Jul 3, 2026 |
Will Paraguay win on 2026-07-04?No | buy | 6.25 | $0.960 | $6 | Jul 3, 2026 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No | buy | 19.21 | $0.989 | $19 | Jun 28, 2026 |
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Jimmy Kimmel by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 1.33 | $0.750 | $1 | Jun 28, 2026 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No | buy | 5.06 | $0.989 | $5 | Jun 28, 2026 |
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Zohran Mamdani by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 5.16 | $0.969 | $5 | Jun 28, 2026 |
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?Yes | buy | 8.58 | $0.583 | $5 | Jun 28, 2026 |
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 49.5 | $0.050 | $2.48 | Jun 28, 2026 |
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 74.62 | $0.056 | $4.18 | Jun 28, 2026 |
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 47.61 | $0.104 | $4.95 | Jun 28, 2026 |
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 37.59 | $0.105 | $3.95 | Jun 28, 2026 |
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 27.02 | $0.229 | $6.19 | Jun 28, 2026 |
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 47.16 | $0.224 | $10.56 | Jun 28, 2026 |