Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?

politicsResolved

Yes, settled Aug 14, 2026 UTC

Yes

100.0%

0.0%

Final Yes 100¢Final No 0¢

Lifetime volume

$2.0M

Resolved

Yes

Settled

Aug 14, 2026 UTC

Topic roomWorld elections

Where it stands

Resolved Yes on 14 Aug 2026.

The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 99.8%. Yes opened at 93.3% on 8 Jul 2026. Before it settled, across the 38 daily closes on record from 8 Jul 2026 to 14 Aug 2026, the highest close was 99.8% on 14 Aug 2026 and the lowest 90.1% on 10 Jul 2026. $1.95M traded over the market's life.

248 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Oct 7, 8:08 PM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 38 points, 8 Jul 2026 – 14 Aug 2026, chart shows 85%–100%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
rwcoffee	No	144.89K
AJM96	No	141.51K
Indigo Signal 2966	No	132.42K
rdba	No	115K

10 of 248 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Clacton is expected to be held soon following the announced resignation of incumbent Nigel Farage. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Clacton parliamentary by-election. If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Tendring District Council (https://www.tendringdc.gov.uk/) and the UK Parliament (https://www.parliament.uk/).