Analytics
rdba has made $484.66K on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 50 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-08-05 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | Yes | 3.3M | $0.500 | $2.16M | +$511.5K |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House |
| Category | Realized PnL | Volume | Trades | Markets | Win rate | Position value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| politics | $0 | $0 | 1 | 0 | $0 | |
| uncategorized | +$471.69K | $789.73K | 924 | 172 | 7.6% | $677.08K |
This view does not establish the wallet’s complete trading history.
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-08-05 03:10 UTC
Polymarket public position response
31 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-25 01:24 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
Recent fills unavailable
2026-10-25 01:24 UTC
polymarket positions
51 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-08-05 03:10 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $1.63M and losing ones cost $627.62K across the latest 50 settled positions. 60% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $358.42K on “Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?” (Yes); the largest loss, $100.9K on “Reds vs. Phillies” (Phillies).
It has traded 262 markets. Most of the volume is in uncategorized ($789.73K). Its open positions are worth $3.6M across 31 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| No |
| 3.3M |
| $0.500 |
| $1.14M |
| -$511.5K |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 250K | $0.757 | $202.5K | +$13.33K |
 Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 66.37K | $0.780 | $54.75K | +$2.99K |
 Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | No | 7.07K | $0.947 | $6.94K | +$247.86 |
 Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 6.33K | $0.909 | $5.53K | -$224.41 |
 Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | No | 6.04K | $0.935 | $5.11K | -$537.68 |
 Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 5K | $0.960 | $4.22K | -$582.5 |
 Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 6.26K | $0.528 | $4.1K | +$792.9 |
 Will Elon Musk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | No | 3.37K | $0.987 | $3.37K | +$38.78 |
 Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 2.44K | $0.979 | $2.43K | +$46.82 |
| Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | No | 1.86K | $0.960 | $1.86K | +$71.75 |
 Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | No | 1.91K | $0.500 | $1.06K | +$110.16 |
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 872.99 | $0.839 | $782.64 | +$50.07 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 4.2K | $0.500 | $688.26 | -$1.41K |
 Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 700 | $0.950 | $685.65 | +$20.65 |
 Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 16.45K | $0.028 | $649.9 | +$181.35 |
 Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 498 | $0.979 | $487.29 | -$0.05 |
 Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 22.48K | $0.052 | $438.37 | -$742.96 |
 Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | No | 200.67 | $0.956 | $200.17 | +$8.33 |
 Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | No | 196.97 | $0.940 | $190.47 | +$5.32 |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 1.96K | $0.500 | $176.01 | -$801.24 |
| Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 100 | $0.960 | $96.7 | +$0.7 |
 Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 917 | $0.071 | $47.68 | -$17.78 |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 522.75 | $0.040 | $34.24 | +$13.33 |
4 of 6 axes ranked against the 118 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 2 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.
