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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.100 | $1 | Jan 6, 2026 |
 |
| buy |
| 10 |
| $0.103 |
| $1.03 |
| Nov 20, 2025 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?No | buy | 54.35 | $0.920 | $50 | Nov 20, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?Yes | sell | 19.6 | $0.630 | $12.35 | Nov 20, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 19.61 | $0.510 | $10 | Nov 15, 2025 |
 Zelensky resigns in 2025?Yes | sell | 83.33 | $0.031 | $2.58 | Nov 15, 2025 |
 NATO x Russia military clash in 2025?No | buy | 20 | $0.880 | $17.6 | Oct 12, 2025 |
 Will Kazakhstan win Intervision 2025?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.244 | $7.32 | Sep 20, 2025 |
 Will Vietnam win Intervision 2025?Yes | buy | 13.33 | $0.075 | $1 | Sep 20, 2025 |
 Will Russia win Intervision 2025?No | buy | 20.83 | $0.720 | $15 | Sep 20, 2025 |
| Will Russia win Intervision 2025?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.350 | $7 | Sep 13, 2025 |
 Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?No | sell | 25 | $0.940 | $23.5 | Sep 13, 2025 |
 More EU sanctions on Russia by August 31?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.180 | $4.5 | Aug 4, 2025 |
| Will Russia win Intervision 2025?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.430 | $8.6 | Aug 4, 2025 |
| Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?No | buy | 25 | $0.800 | $20 | Jul 17, 2025 |
 Trump x Putin talk by July 31?Yes | buy | 12.41 | $0.230 | $2.85 | Jul 17, 2025 |
| Zelensky resigns in 2025?Yes | buy | 83.33 | $0.120 | $10 | Jun 1, 2025 |
 Will Trump increase sanctions on Russia before July?No | buy | 16.42 | $0.670 | $11 | Jun 1, 2025 |
 Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together before July?No | sell | 40 | $0.957 | $38.28 | Jun 1, 2025 |
 Will Putin remain President of Russia through June?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.988 | $98.8 | Jun 1, 2025 |
 Trump x Putin talk before July?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.350 | $10.5 | Jun 1, 2025 |
 Will France finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 5?Yes | buy | 15.63 | $0.640 | $10 | May 17, 2025 |
 Will Austria win Eurovision 2025?Yes | buy | 36.63 | $0.273 | $10 | May 17, 2025 |
| Will Austria win Eurovision 2025?Yes | sell | 75.06 | $0.268 | $20.12 | May 17, 2025 |
 Will Estonia finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 5?Yes | buy | 16.09 | $0.621 | $10 | May 17, 2025 |
| Will Austria win Eurovision 2025?Yes | buy | 38.3 | $0.261 | $10 | May 17, 2025 |
| Will Austria win Eurovision 2025?Yes | buy | 36.76 | $0.272 | $10 | May 17, 2025 |
 Will Sweden win Eurovision 2025?No | buy | 21.28 | $0.470 | $10 | May 17, 2025 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before June?No | buy | 71.62 | $0.740 | $53 | Apr 26, 2025 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?No | sell | 243.52 | $0.640 | $155.85 | Apr 26, 2025 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?No | buy | 129.87 | $0.770 | $100 | Apr 19, 2025 |
 Will Putin meet with Trump in first 100 days?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.019 | $0.94 | Apr 19, 2025 |
 Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?No | sell | 235.97 | $0.994 | $234.65 | Apr 19, 2025 |
| Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together before July?No | buy | 40 | $0.820 | $32.8 | Mar 22, 2025 |
| Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?No | buy | 25.97 | $0.770 | $20 | Mar 7, 2025 |
 Will Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days?No | sell | 50 | $0.560 | $28 | Mar 7, 2025 |
 Will Trump visit Russia in first 100 days?No | buy | 100 | $0.920 | $92 | Feb 18, 2025 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?No | buy | 75 | $0.610 | $45.75 | Jan 23, 2025 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?No | buy | 30 | $0.610 | $18.3 | Jan 23, 2025 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?No | buy | 8.65 | $0.600 | $5.19 | Jan 23, 2025 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?No | sell | 33.33 | $0.340 | $11.33 | Jan 23, 2025 |
| Will Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days?No | buy | 50 | $0.630 | $31.5 | Jan 23, 2025 |
| Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?No | buy | 100 | $0.720 | $72 | Jan 12, 2025 |
| Will Putin remain President of Russia through June?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.930 | $93 | Jan 12, 2025 |
 Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 by January 31, 2025?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.360 | $3.6 | Jan 12, 2025 |
| Will Putin meet with Trump in first 100 days?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.540 | $27 | Jan 12, 2025 |
 Bitcoin above $94,000 on January 3?Yes | buy | 4.55 | $0.440 | $2 | Jan 1, 2025 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?No | buy | 33.33 | $0.300 | $10 | Jan 1, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.090 | $9 | Jan 1, 2025 |
 Putin out as President of Russia in 2025?No | buy | 100 | $0.870 | $87 | Jan 1, 2025 |