Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Jul 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.7%. Yes opened at 41.5% on 23 May 2025. Before it settled, across the 40 daily closes on record from 23 May 2025 to 1 Jul 2025, the highest close was 49.5% on 28 May 2025 and the lowest 0.3% on 1 Jul 2025. Its largest one-day move was 13 points down, to 30% on 4 Jun 2025. $286.7K traded over the market's life.
47 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 2, 4:25 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 40 points, 23 May 2025 – 1 Jul 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 23 May 2025 | 41.5% |
| 1 Jul 2025 | 0.3% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| H.A.B.K | Yes | 672.76 |
| turnaround | Yes | 462.76 |
| asandpp | Yes | 311.88 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States officially imposes new sanctions of any form against Russia between May 22 and June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Sanctions could include measures like tariffs, trade restrictions, financial penalties, diplomatic expulsions, travel bans, restrictions on specific individuals, or any other actions that are commonly recognized as sanctions. Sanctions against Russian citizens or entities which do not directly target the Russian state or members of the Russian government will not qualify. The passage of an official act/executive order authorizing sanctions on Russia within this market's timeframe will count toward a "Yes" resolution, regardless of if/when the sanctions come into effect. The primary resolution source will be official information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-trump-increase-sanctions-on-russia-before-july
| Yes |
| 238.6 |
| Tinted-Tree | Yes | 238.1 |
| AION5101 | Yes | 203.13 |
| Remote-Disease | Yes | 192.31 |
| qwertzu | Yes | 114 |
| Unwelcome-Destiny | Yes | 100 |
| Jewishtricks | Yes | 98.29 |
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