
Resolved No on 1 Sep 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.4%. Yes opened at 25% on 24 Jul 2025. Before it settled, the high was 26.5% on 26 Jul 2025 and the low 0.6% on 1 Sep 2025. Its largest one-day move was 12 points down, to 14.5% on 27 Jul 2025. $33.08K traded over the market's life.
31 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Sep 2, 9:17 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 40 points, 24 Jul 2025 – 1 Sep 2025, chart shows 0%–40%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 24 Jul 2025 | 25.0% |
| 1 Sep 2025 | 0.6% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 4.85K |
| anta | Yes | 4.33K |
| nigroidfloid | Yes | 217.62 |
| tupac | Yes | 169.9 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the European Union officially imposes new sanctions of any form against Russia between July 22 and August 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Sanctions could include measures like tariffs, trade restrictions, financial penalties, diplomatic expulsions, travel bans, restrictions on specific individuals, or any other actions that are commonly recognized as sanctions. Sanctions against Russian citizens or entities which do not directly target the Russian state or members of the Russian government will not qualify. The passage of an official act authorizing sanctions on Russia within this market's timeframe will count toward a "Yes" resolution, regardless of if/when the sanctions come into effect. Only the imposition of sanctions on Russia by the EU as an entity will qualify; if individual member states of the EU apply sanctions against Russia (e.g., France imposes novel trade restrictions on Russia unilaterally), it will not be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes". The primary resolution source will be official information from the European Union, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/more-eu-sanctions-on-russia-by-august-31
| vLd | Yes | 127.27 |
| Ttdzzaja | Yes | 93.27 |
| BenjaminNetAnYahoo | Yes | 80 |
| Chosen2choose | Yes | 45.45 |
| katsukaishu | Yes | 43.48 |
| Bright Signal 14DE | Yes | 26 |
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