Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 by January 31, 2025?

cryptoResolved

No, settled Feb 1, 2025 UTC

Yes

0.0%

100.0%

Final Yes 0¢Final No 100¢

Lifetime volume

$3.8M

Resolved

Settled

Feb 1, 2025 UTC

Topic roomBitcoin Price

Where it stands

Resolved No on 1 Feb 2025.

The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 39.5% on 3 Jan 2025. Before it settled, across the 30 daily closes on record from 3 Jan 2025 to 1 Feb 2025, the highest close was 43% on 10 Jan 2025 and the lowest 0.1% on 1 Feb 2025. Its largest one-day move was 12 points up, to 43% on 10 Jan 2025. $3.82M traded over the market's life.

80 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Feb 2, 7:39 AM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 30 points, 3 Jan 2025 – 1 Feb 2025

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
beakmangi	Yes	26.58K
rafanadal77	Yes	26.16K
KimbalMusk	Yes	9.81K
Media.Man	Yes	7.53K

10 of 80 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Bitcoin (BTCUSDT) between January 2, 2025, 11:00 and January 31, 2025, 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final "Low" price of $85,000 or lower. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTCUSDT "Low" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTCUSDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.