Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.22 | $0.820 | $1 | Sep 1, 2025 |
|
| buy |
| 1.22 |
| $0.820 |
| $1 |
| Sep 1, 2025 |
 Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy in 2025?Yes | buy | 3.85 | $0.260 | $1 | Aug 25, 2025 |
 Bitcoin Up or Down on August 5?Up | buy | 3.03 | $0.330 | $1 | Aug 5, 2025 |
 Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?Yes | buy | 1.43 | $0.700 | $1 | Jul 31, 2025 |
 Will Ethereum hit $4,000 by December 31?Yes | sell | 1.44 | $0.900 | $1.3 | Jul 31, 2025 |
 US recession in 2025?No | sell | 1.34 | $0.890 | $1.19 | Jul 31, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $125K in July?Yes | buy | 2.5 | $0.400 | $1 | Jul 22, 2025 |
| Will Ethereum hit $4,000 by December 31?Yes | buy | 1.45 | $0.690 | $1 | Jul 17, 2025 |
| Will Ethereum reach $3300 in July?Yes | buy | 1.67 | $0.600 | $1 | Jul 14, 2025 |
 Israel x Hamas ceasefire by July 15?No | buy | 1.39 | $0.720 | $1 | Jul 9, 2025 |
 Diddy found guilty of sex trafficking?Yes | buy | 1.23 | $0.810 | $1 | Jul 2, 2025 |
| US recession in 2025?No | buy | 1.33 | $0.750 | $1 | Jun 24, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2025?Yes | buy | 1.92 | $0.520 | $1 | Jun 18, 2025 |
 Will the NYC Mayoral Democratic Primary be decided in round 2?No | sell | 1.05 | $0.944 | $0.99 | Jun 18, 2025 |
 Will xAI have the top AI model on June 30?No | sell | 1.07 | $0.926 | $0.99 | Jun 18, 2025 |
 Iranian coup attempt before July?No | sell | 1.33 | $0.740 | $0.98 | Jun 18, 2025 |
 Fordow nuclear facility destroyed before July?Yes | sell | 1.63 | $0.590 | $0.96 | Jun 18, 2025 |
 Thunder vs. PacersThunder | sell | 1.44 | $0.680 | $0.98 | Jun 18, 2025 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire before July?No | sell | 1.21 | $0.800 | $0.97 | Jun 18, 2025 |
 Iran Nuke in 2025?No | sell | 1.16 | $0.850 | $0.99 | Jun 18, 2025 |
| US recession in 2025?No | sell | 1.36 | $0.720 | $0.98 | Jun 18, 2025 |
 US military action against Iran before July?No | sell | 2.57 | $0.383 | $0.98 | Jun 18, 2025 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $102K on June 20?No | sell | 1.21 | $0.800 | $0.97 | Jun 18, 2025 |
 Trump and Elon publicly reconcile before July?No | sell | 1.23 | $0.780 | $0.96 | Jun 18, 2025 |
 Solana Up or Down on June 18?Down | sell | 1.36 | $0.710 | $0.97 | Jun 18, 2025 |
| Will the NYC Mayoral Democratic Primary be decided in round 2?No | buy | 1.05 | $0.949 | $1 | Jun 18, 2025 |
| Will xAI have the top AI model on June 30?No | buy | 1.07 | $0.934 | $1 | Jun 18, 2025 |
| Solana Up or Down on June 18?Down | buy | 1.37 | $0.730 | $1 | Jun 18, 2025 |
| Iranian coup attempt before July?No | buy | 1.33 | $0.750 | $1 | Jun 18, 2025 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $102K on June 20?No | buy | 1.22 | $0.820 | $1 | Jun 18, 2025 |
| Thunder vs. PacersThunder | buy | 1.45 | $0.690 | $1 | Jun 18, 2025 |
| Fordow nuclear facility destroyed before July?Yes | buy | 1.64 | $0.610 | $1 | Jun 18, 2025 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire before July?No | buy | 1.22 | $0.820 | $1 | Jun 18, 2025 |
| Trump and Elon publicly reconcile before July?No | buy | 1.23 | $0.810 | $1 | Jun 18, 2025 |
| Iran Nuke in 2025?No | buy | 1.16 | $0.860 | $1 | Jun 18, 2025 |
| US military action against Iran before July?No | buy | 2.58 | $0.388 | $1 | Jun 18, 2025 |
| US recession in 2025?No | buy | 1.37 | $0.730 | $1 | Jun 18, 2025 |
 Will Karol Nawrocki be the next President of Poland?Yes | sell | 37.03 | $0.951 | $35.22 | Jun 1, 2025 |
 Will Sławomir Mentzen be the next President of Poland?Yes | sell | 680.98 | $0.005 | $3.4 | May 18, 2025 |
| Will Sławomir Mentzen be the next President of Poland?Yes | buy | 750 | $0.020 | $15 | May 16, 2025 |
| Will Karol Nawrocki be the next President of Poland?Yes | buy | 37.04 | $0.270 | $10 | May 16, 2025 |
 Will Putin meet with Trump in first 100 days?No | buy | 1.18 | $0.850 | $1 | Mar 24, 2025 |
 Will Inter Milan win the Serie A?Yes | sell | 0.19 | $0.720 | $0.14 | Mar 24, 2025 |
 Ukraine agrees to Trump mineral deal before April?No | buy | 2.09 | $0.478 | $1 | Mar 3, 2025 |
 Will there be a streaker?Yes | buy | 16.67 | $0.300 | $5 | Feb 9, 2025 |
 Super Bowl LIX WinnerChiefs | buy | 1.89 | $0.530 | $1 | Feb 9, 2025 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by January 31, 2025?Yes | buy | 2.44 | $0.410 | $1 | Jan 5, 2025 |
 Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?Yes | buy | 1.05 | $0.949 | $1 | Nov 11, 2024 |
 Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 4.75 | $0.611 | $2.9 | Nov 5, 2024 |