
Resolved No on 1 Jul 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.8%. Yes opened at 10% on 16 Jun 2025. Before it settled, across the 16 daily closes on record from 16 Jun 2025 to 1 Jul 2025, the highest close was 34% on 18 Jun 2025 and the lowest 0.3% on 1 Jul 2025. Its largest one-day move was 21 points up, to 34% on 18 Jun 2025. $674.45K traded over the market's life.
120 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 2, 4:24 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 16 points, 16 Jun 2025 – 1 Jul 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 16 Jun 2025 | 10.0% |
| 1 Jul 2025 | 0.3% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| WCBT | Yes | 25.62K |
| Helso | Yes | 7.6K |
| AnonPunter | Yes | 3.76K |
| tekramP | Yes | 2.56K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Iran at any point between June 14 and June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Iranian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify. Claims by the Iranian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/iranian-coup-attempt-before-july
| UncleAsh | Yes | 1.92K |
| heuer | Yes | 1.66K |
| 0xmogged | Yes | 1.2K |
| TimeTraveler | Yes | 1.1K |
| Neocowboy | Yes | 1.06K |
| TRADER420 | Yes | 1.05K |
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