Analytics
Resolved No on 30 Jun 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.9%. Yes opened at 13% on 1 Jan 2025. Before it settled, across the 181 daily closes on record from 1 Jan 2025 to 30 Jun 2025, the highest close was 38.7% on 18 Mar 2025 and the lowest 0.1% on 28 Jun 2025. Its largest one-day move was 11 points up, to 28.6% on 19 Feb 2025. $773.96K traded over the market's life.
155 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 2, 12:26 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 181 points, 1 Jan 2025 – 30 Jun 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 1 Jan 2025 | 13.0% |
| 30 Jun 2025 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 176.35K |
| Agilord | Yes | 20K |
| Alexhmcc | Yes | 10.37K |
This is a negrisk market group over which will be the top AI model on June 30, 2025, 12:00 PM ET.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/which-company-has-best-ai-model-on-june-30
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| Bright Voyager FB3B | Yes | 5.6K |
| SamCrosling | Yes | 5.01K |
| veke | Yes | 4.47K |
| OracleSada | Yes | 3.29K |
| Siziriv | Yes | 2.55K |
| wenqifei | Yes | 2.43K |
| Yutaa | Yes | 2K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
