Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 120 | $0.100 | $9 | -$3 |
 Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 120 | $0.100 | $12 | Feb 1, 2026 |
 |
| Yes |
| 71.43 |
| $0.140 |
| $1.25 |
| -$8.75 |
| buy |
| 10.1 |
| $0.099 |
| $1 |
| Feb 1, 2026 |
 Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 54.17 | $0.240 | $13 | Feb 1, 2026 |
 Will Elon Musk’s net worth be less than $630b on February 28?Yes | buy | 29.41 | $0.170 | $5 | Feb 1, 2026 |
 Moltbook shutdown by Feb 28?Yes | buy | 12.5 | $0.080 | $1 | Feb 1, 2026 |
 Another US bank failure by March 31?Yes | buy | 16.67 | $0.300 | $5 | Feb 1, 2026 |
 Will the government shutdown last 10 days or more?Yes | buy | 7.69 | $0.130 | $1 | Feb 1, 2026 |
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 66.67 | $0.015 | $1 | Feb 1, 2026 |
 Will GTA 6 cost $100+?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.010 | $1 | Feb 1, 2026 |
 Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?Yes | buy | 14.29 | $0.070 | $1 | Feb 1, 2026 |
 Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by June 30?No | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | Feb 1, 2026 |
 Iran strike on US military by January 31?Yes | buy | 4K | $0.001 | $4 | Feb 1, 2026 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?Yes | buy | 24.79 | $0.121 | $3 | Feb 1, 2026 |
 Will the US not strike another country before 2027?Yes | buy | 5K | $0.001 | $5 | Feb 1, 2026 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?Yes | buy | 35.71 | $0.140 | $5 | Feb 1, 2026 |
| Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 22.73 | $0.220 | $5 | Feb 1, 2026 |
 Will Trump talk to Ali Khamenei in February?Yes | buy | 83.33 | $0.060 | $5 | Feb 1, 2026 |
 Will Ali Khamenei be the next leader out before 2027?Yes | buy | 71.43 | $0.140 | $10 | Feb 1, 2026 |
| Will Xi Jinping be the next leader out before 2027?Yes | buy | 250 | $0.004 | $1 | Feb 1, 2026 |
| Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 71.43 | $0.140 | $10 | Feb 1, 2026 |
| Will Trump be impeached by June 30?Yes | buy | 142.86 | $0.070 | $10 | Feb 1, 2026 |
 Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?No | sell | 76.56 | $0.840 | $64.31 | Mar 25, 2025 |
| Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?No | buy | 76.56 | $0.640 | $49 | Jan 7, 2025 |
 Chopsticks catch SpaceX's 7th Starship Super Heavy?Yes | sell | 26.16 | $0.690 | $18.05 | Jan 7, 2025 |
 Trudeau no confidence motion passes before April?Yes | sell | 29.24 | $0.008 | $0.23 | Jan 7, 2025 |
 Trudeau out in 2024?Yes | sell | 48.54 | $0.012 | $0.58 | Dec 24, 2024 |
 Will Russia abandon Syrian naval base before April?Yes | buy | 11.44 | $0.430 | $4.92 | Dec 18, 2024 |
| Trudeau no confidence motion passes before April?Yes | buy | 29.25 | $0.287 | $8.4 | Dec 18, 2024 |
| Chopsticks catch SpaceX's 7th Starship Super Heavy?Yes | buy | 26.17 | $0.600 | $15.7 | Dec 18, 2024 |
 Bitcoin above $100,000 on December 20?No | buy | 30.56 | $0.360 | $11 | Dec 18, 2024 |
| Trudeau out in 2024?Yes | buy | 48.54 | $0.103 | $5 | Dec 18, 2024 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in December?Yes | buy | 18.52 | $0.270 | $5 | Dec 18, 2024 |