Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Mar 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.7%. Yes opened at 8% on 1 Feb 2026. Before it settled, across the 29 daily closes on record from 1 Feb 2026 to 1 Mar 2026, the highest close was 8.5% on 2 Feb 2026 and the lowest 0.3% on 28 Feb 2026. $286.59K traded over the market's life.
136 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 2, 8:25 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 29 points, 1 Feb 2026 – 1 Mar 2026, chart shows 0%–15%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 1 Feb 2026 | 8.0% |
| 1 Mar 2026 | 0.4% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| MrMarket | Yes | 7.57K |
| hans-tm | Yes | 5.56K |
| Mediocre-Macrame | Yes | 2.26K |
| F.U.C.KYEAD | Yes | 1.34K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Moltbook shuts down by February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. For the purposes of this market, a shutdown means Moltbook ceases operations such that its primary website is no longer publicly accessible and the platform is discontinued. An official announcement that Moltbook is closing, winding down, or discontinuing the service will qualify regardless of when the shutdown is fully implemented. Temporary outages, maintenance, cyberattacks, domain or hosting issues, paywalls, limited functionality, invite-only transitions, ownership changes, restructurings, bankruptcies, acquisitions, or migrations to a new domain will not qualify so long as the core platform remains operational in any publicly accessible form. The primary resolution source will be official statements from Moltbook; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/moltbook-shutdown-by-feb-28
| fomod | Yes | 1.25K |
| mindfool | Yes | 1.18K |
| Pity | Yes | 1.06K |
| Stale-Volcano | Yes | 1.06K |
| brother-magpie | Yes | 902.89 |
| coffeebreak | Yes | 718.09 |
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
