Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Jan 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.9%. Yes opened at 5.3% on 26 Oct 2024. Before it settled, across the 68 daily closes on record from 26 Oct 2024 to 1 Jan 2025, the highest close was 19.1% on 17 Dec 2024 and the lowest 0.1% on 1 Jan 2025. Its largest one-day move was 18 points up, to 19.1% on 17 Dec 2024. $432.95K traded over the market's life.
80 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 2, 7:07 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 68 points, 26 Oct 2024 – 1 Jan 2025, chart shows 0%–25%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 26 Oct 2024 | 5.3% |
| 1 Jan 2025 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| heuer | Yes | 6.73K |
| politcsbetttooor | Yes | 6.18K |
| St-Qc | Yes | 3K |
| sebwallet | Yes | 1.98K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Justin Trudeau ceases to be Prime Minister of Canada for any length of time between October 24 and December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET (inclusive). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If Trudeau departs from office before the expiry date, the market should resolve immediately. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the government of Canada, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/trudeau-out-in-2024
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| Raypalgrewal | Yes | 1.77K |
| tab | Yes | 1.75K |
| method4747 | Yes | 1.06K |
| terrysworld | Yes | 730.35 |
| crabonthemoon | Yes | 689.82 |
| sd2333 | Yes | 555 |
