Analytics
Resolved No on 14 Mar 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.7%. Yes opened at 47% on 17 Dec 2024. Before it settled, across the 88 daily closes on record from 17 Dec 2024 to 14 Mar 2025, the highest close was 80.5% on 21 Dec 2024 and the lowest 0.3% on 13 Mar 2025. Its largest one-day move was 38 points up, to 80.5% on 21 Dec 2024. $493.17K traded over the market's life.
36 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 15, 6:19 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 88 points, 17 Dec 2024 – 14 Mar 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 17 Dec 2024 | 47.0% |
| 14 Mar 2025 | 0.3% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| elijahllopezz | Yes | 833.33 |
| Jmil7 | Yes | 324.78 |
| heuer | Yes | 150.01 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a motion of no confidence passes in the Canadian House of Commons while Justin Trudeau is serving as prime minister between December 15, 2024, and March 31, 2025 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Motions of no confidence that are voted on but do not pass the House of Commons will not count toward the resolution of this market. If Justin Trudeau ceases to be Prime Minister of Canada for any length of time prior to a motion of no confidence passing, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Canada, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/trudeau-no-confidence-motion-passes-before-april
| Yes |
| 137.93 |
| farcraft | Yes | 83.33 |
| tab | Yes | 38.25 |
| jFan | Yes | 18.18 |
| Narrow-Lychee | Yes | 10 |
| Alain123 | Yes | 5.39 |
| Azdak | Yes | 4.76 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
