Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 16.95 | $0.590 | $8.65 | -$1.35 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?Yes | buy | 6.25 | $0.480 | $3 | Mar 5, 2026 |
|
| Yes |
| 27.03 |
| $0.370 |
| $3.74 |
| -$6.26 |
 Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day? | Yes | 52.31 | $0.096 | $1.2 | -$3.8 |
| Will OpenAI’s market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day? | Yes | 160 | $0.031 | $0.4 | -$4.6 |
| buy |
| 23.08 |
| $0.130 |
| $3 |
| Mar 5, 2026 |
 US forces enter Iran by December 31?Yes | buy | 31.97 | $0.626 | $20 | Mar 5, 2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 26.84 | $0.373 | $10 | Mar 5, 2026 |
 Will Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31?No | buy | 23.01 | $0.652 | $15 | Oct 30, 2025 |
 Will Wicked: For Good be the top grossing movie of 2025?Yes | buy | 21.46 | $0.466 | $10 | Oct 30, 2025 |
 Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?Yes | buy | 29.41 | $0.170 | $5 | Oct 30, 2025 |
 Will Trump meet with iShowSpeed in 2025?Yes | buy | 41.1 | $0.073 | $3 | Oct 30, 2025 |
 Will Trump meet with MrBeast in 2025?Yes | buy | 53.5 | $0.056 | $3 | Oct 30, 2025 |
 Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2025?Yes | buy | 33.38 | $0.090 | $3 | Oct 30, 2025 |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 16.95 | $0.590 | $10 | Oct 30, 2025 |
 Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes | buy | 41.67 | $0.120 | $5 | Oct 30, 2025 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 27.03 | $0.370 | $10 | Oct 30, 2025 |
 Will the Kansas City Chiefs win Super Bowl 2026?Yes | buy | 31.25 | $0.160 | $5 | Oct 30, 2025 |
 Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year?Yes | buy | 33.33 | $0.150 | $5 | Oct 30, 2025 |
 Will the Government shutdown end by November 7?Yes | buy | 14.71 | $0.340 | $5 | Oct 30, 2025 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?Yes | buy | 55.56 | $0.090 | $5 | Oct 30, 2025 |
| Will OpenAI’s market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day?Yes | buy | 160 | $0.031 | $5 | Oct 30, 2025 |
| Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day?Yes | buy | 52.31 | $0.096 | $5 | Oct 30, 2025 |
 Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2025 World Series?Yes | buy | 15.63 | $0.320 | $5 | Oct 30, 2025 |
 No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 17.86 | $0.280 | $5 | Oct 30, 2025 |
 Will the Government shutdown end October 31-November 3?Yes | buy | 200.32 | $0.050 | $10 | Oct 30, 2025 |
 Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by August 31?Yes | buy | 39.25 | $0.127 | $5 | Aug 17, 2025 |
 UFC 319: Will Chimaev win by KO/TKO/DQ?Yes | buy | 26.32 | $0.190 | $5 | Aug 17, 2025 |
| UFC 319: Will Du Plessis win by KO/TKO/DQ?Yes | buy | 35.71 | $0.140 | $5 | Aug 17, 2025 |
| UFC 319: Will Du Plessis win by decision?Yes | buy | 38.46 | $0.130 | $5 | Aug 17, 2025 |
| UFC 319: Du Plessis vs. ChimaevChimaev | buy | 28.57 | $0.700 | $20 | Aug 17, 2025 |
 Canada election called before April?Yes | buy | 31.64 | $0.670 | $21.2 | Feb 17, 2025 |
 Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?Yes | buy | 22.73 | $0.220 | $5 | Feb 17, 2025 |
 Conservatives win majority in Canadian election?Yes | buy | 16.67 | $0.600 | $10 | Feb 17, 2025 |
 Trudeau no confidence motion passes before April?Yes | buy | 324.78 | $0.043 | $14 | Feb 17, 2025 |
 Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?Yes | buy | 120.48 | $0.083 | $10 | Nov 6, 2024 |
 Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 150.6 | $0.886 | $133.43 | Nov 6, 2024 |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 150.6 | $0.664 | $100 | Oct 29, 2024 |
 Will a Democrat win Wisconsin Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 8.47 | $0.590 | $5 | Sep 11, 2024 |
 Will Trump say "tampon" at debate?No | sell | 6.84 | $0.992 | $6.79 | Sep 11, 2024 |
 Who will speak more at the debate?Trump | sell | 7.57 | $0.980 | $7.42 | Sep 11, 2024 |
 Who will win the debate according to polls?Kamala | sell | 6.41 | $0.968 | $6.2 | Sep 11, 2024 |
 Who will gain more in polls after the debate?Kamala | sell | 1.75 | $0.800 | $1.4 | Sep 11, 2024 |
 Will Kamala and Trump both say "Putin" at debate?Yes | sell | 7.93 | $0.999 | $7.92 | Sep 11, 2024 |
| Will Kamala and Trump both say "Biden" at debate?Yes | sell | 6.49 | $0.990 | $6.43 | Sep 11, 2024 |
| Will Kamala and Trump both say "democracy" at debate?Yes | sell | 4.54 | $0.975 | $4.43 | Sep 11, 2024 |
| Will Kamala and Trump both say "abortion" at debate?Yes | sell | 6.41 | $0.990 | $6.35 | Sep 11, 2024 |
| Will Trump say "cat" at debate?No | sell | 7.46 | $0.001 | $0.01 | Sep 11, 2024 |
| Will Trump say "Haitian" at debate?Yes | sell | 3.03 | $0.001 | $0 | Sep 11, 2024 |
| Will Trump say "Springfield" at debate?Yes | sell | 3.44 | $0.999 | $3.44 | Sep 11, 2024 |
| Will Trump say "Israel" at debate?Yes | sell | 10.86 | $0.998 | $10.84 | Sep 11, 2024 |
| Will Trump say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" at debate?Yes | sell | 4.76 | $0.001 | $0 | Sep 11, 2024 |
| Will Trump say "fraud" at debate?Yes | sell | 2 | $0.993 | $1.99 | Sep 11, 2024 |
| Will Trump say "Elon Musk" at debate?Yes | sell | 3.03 | $0.002 | $0.01 | Sep 11, 2024 |