Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?Yes | buy | 1.68K | $0.950 | $1.6K | Nov 20, 2024 |
 |
| sell |
| 828.57 |
| $0.998 |
| $826.91 |
| Nov 20, 2024 |
 Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?Yes | buy | 9.31K | $0.205 | $1.91K | Nov 6, 2024 |
 Will a Democrat win Nevada Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 416.67 | $0.240 | $100 | Nov 6, 2024 |
| Will a Democrat win Nevada Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 4.17K | $0.240 | $1K | Nov 6, 2024 |
 Will Trump win Florida by 8+ points?No | buy | 922.4 | $0.420 | $387.41 | Nov 3, 2024 |
 Will Trump do better in Florida or Ohio?Ohio | buy | 200 | $0.420 | $84 | Nov 3, 2024 |
| Will Trump do better in Florida or Ohio?Ohio | buy | 78 | $0.410 | $31.98 | Nov 3, 2024 |
| Will Trump do better in Florida or Ohio?Ohio | buy | 17 | $0.400 | $6.8 | Nov 3, 2024 |
| Will another state be the closest state?No | sell | 600 | $0.850 | $510.19 | Nov 3, 2024 |
 Will Trump win Wyoming by 50+ points?No | buy | 771.13 | $0.697 | $537.75 | Nov 2, 2024 |
 Will Trump win Mississippi by 20+ points?No | buy | 1.46K | $0.480 | $700 | Nov 2, 2024 |
 Will Trump win Alabama by 30+ points?No | buy | 400 | $0.540 | $216 | Nov 2, 2024 |
 Will Trump win Alaska by 6+ points?No | buy | 471.77 | $0.254 | $120 | Nov 2, 2024 |
| Will a Democrat win Michigan Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 1.89K | $0.590 | $1.11K | Nov 2, 2024 |
| Will a Democrat win Nevada Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 1.28K | $0.350 | $449.56 | Oct 31, 2024 |
 Will Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?No | buy | 562.7 | $0.622 | $350 | Oct 31, 2024 |
| Will another state be the closest state?No | buy | 1.43K | $0.840 | $1.2K | Oct 29, 2024 |
 Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 1.23K | $0.391 | $481.56 | Oct 21, 2024 |
 Who will Nate Silver predict to win the election?Trump | sell | 31.02 | $0.650 | $20.16 | Oct 19, 2024 |
| Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?Yes | buy | 1.25K | $0.691 | $861.42 | Oct 19, 2024 |
| Will a Democrat win Michigan Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 1.89K | $0.450 | $850 | Oct 19, 2024 |
| Who will Nate Silver predict to win the election?Trump | buy | 737.37 | $0.542 | $400 | Oct 16, 2024 |
 Trump flips Kamala on Silver Bulletin before the election?Yes | buy | 348.62 | $0.861 | $300 | Oct 16, 2024 |
 Who will lead on Silver Bulletin on Friday?Trump | buy | 507.67 | $0.689 | $350 | Oct 16, 2024 |
 Another Iran strike on Israel in October?No | sell | 1.06K | $0.698 | $739.42 | Oct 12, 2024 |
 Israel military response against Iran by Friday?No | buy | 674.1 | $0.810 | $546.02 | Oct 10, 2024 |
 Iran strike on US military before November?No | sell | 600 | $0.910 | $546.02 | Oct 10, 2024 |
| Israel military response against Iran by Friday?No | buy | 491.6 | $0.716 | $351.87 | Oct 9, 2024 |
| Will a Democrat win Pennsylvania Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 1.39K | $0.460 | $640.49 | Oct 7, 2024 |
| Another Iran strike on Israel in October?No | buy | 1.06K | $0.549 | $581.35 | Oct 4, 2024 |
 Will Joe pardon Hunter Biden?No | sell | 755 | $0.770 | $581.35 | Oct 4, 2024 |
| Iran strike on US military before November?No | buy | 1.06K | $0.878 | $929.65 | Oct 3, 2024 |
 Iran Nuke in 2024?No | sell | 1.07K | $0.870 | $929.65 | Oct 3, 2024 |
| Iran Nuke in 2024?No | buy | 1.07K | $0.830 | $886.91 | Oct 2, 2024 |
 Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?No | sell | 1.4K | $0.201 | $282.11 | Sep 30, 2024 |
 Kamala Silver Bulletin odds >60% on Friday?Yes | buy | 1.03K | $0.250 | $256.5 | Sep 21, 2024 |
 Iran military response before October?No | sell | 285 | $0.900 | $256.5 | Sep 21, 2024 |
| Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?No | buy | 1.4K | $0.844 | $1.18K | Sep 19, 2024 |
 Israel x Hamas ceasefire before October?No | sell | 962.75 | $0.961 | $925.2 | Sep 17, 2024 |
| Will a Democrat win Alaska Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 2.44K | $0.094 | $230.05 | Sep 14, 2024 |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire before October?No | sell | 250 | $0.920 | $230 | Sep 14, 2024 |
| Will Joe pardon Hunter Biden?No | buy | 2.04K | $0.757 | $1.55K | Sep 7, 2024 |
 Will Brazil unban X before October?No | sell | 1K | $0.790 | $790.05 | Sep 7, 2024 |
| 2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 65-104Yes | buy | 800 | $0.127 | $101.6 | Sep 3, 2024 |
| Will Brazil unban X before October?No | buy | 1K | $0.700 | $700 | Sep 1, 2024 |
| Iran military response before October?No | buy | 889.8 | $0.787 | $700 | Sep 1, 2024 |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire before October?No | buy | 1.21K | $0.825 | $1K | Sep 1, 2024 |
 Will Joey Chestnut eat 65 or more Hot Dogs?Yes | buy | 190.83 | $0.262 | $50 | Aug 31, 2024 |
 Trump fires campaign manager in August?No | sell | 400 | $0.993 | $397.2 | Aug 31, 2024 |