Analytics
Resolved Florida on 3 Dec 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had Florida at 98%. The Florida side opened at 51.5% on 31 Oct 2024. Before it settled, the high was 100% on 9 Nov 2024 and the low 41% on 1 Nov 2024. Its largest one-day move was 36 points up, to 99.9% on 7 Nov 2024. $86.9K traded over the market's life.
37 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Dec 4, 7:13 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Florida price, Polymarket CLOB · 34 points · 31 Oct 2024 – 3 Dec 2024
| Observed | Florida price |
|---|---|
| 31 Oct 2024 | 51.5% |
| 3 Dec 2024 | 98.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Misty Maven 30CF | Ohio | 4.58K |
| purplenurple-735 | Florida | 1.12K |
| Betw | Ohio | 570.77 |
| TRUMP24 | Ohio | 346.74 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve to "Florida” if Donald Trump's margin of victory winning the popular vote in Florida is higher than his margin of victory winning the popular vote in Ohio in the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election. This market will resolve to "Ohio” if Donald Trump's margin of victory winning the popular vote in Ohio is higher than his margin of victory winning the popular vote in Florida in the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election. For the purpose of resolving this market, the 'margin of victory' is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of votes received by Donald Trump and the second-place candidate. Percentages of the votes received by each party will be determined by dividing the total number of votes received by each Donald Trump and the second place candidate by the sum of all votes cast in Florida and Ohio each for the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election. If Donald Trump loses both states, this market will resolve based off the state in which he had a smaller margin of defeat between himself and the first place candidate. This market will resolve based off the official vote count once both relevant states have certified the vote. If a recount is initiated in either state before certification, this market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is certified. If a recount occurs after certification, the recount will not be considered.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-trump-do-better-in-florida-or-ohio
| International-Immobiliare | Ohio | 295 |
| Submissive-Tuxedo | Ohio | 200 |
| zzzzbbbbb92 | Ohio | 25.79 |
| xblesseer | Ohio | 5 |
| CobaltAzure | Ohio | 4.23 |
| kkjbhb | Ohio | 2.04 |
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