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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
US defaults on debt by 2027?No | sell | 14 | $0.967 | $13.54 | 18d ago |
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| sell |
| 17 |
| $0.930 |
| $15.81 |
| 18d ago |
China coup attempt before 2027?No | sell | 17.8 | $0.955 | $17 | 18d ago |
Xi Jinping out before 2027?No | sell | 18 | $0.951 | $17.12 | 18d ago |
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No | sell | 18 | $0.962 | $17.32 | 18d ago |
EU dissolves before 2027?No | sell | 17.8 | $0.976 | $17.37 | 18d ago |
Fed abolished before 2027?No | sell | 18 | $0.981 | $17.66 | 18d ago |
Xi Jinping divorce before 2027?No | sell | 18 | $0.988 | $17.78 | 18d ago |
US recession by end of 2026?No | sell | 19 | $0.920 | $17.48 | 18d ago |
1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?No | sell | 19 | $0.982 | $18.66 | 18d ago |
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?No | sell | 33 | $0.986 | $32.54 | 18d ago |
Will Vladimir Putin win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?No | sell | 19 | $0.998 | $18.96 | 18d ago |
Will OpenAI announce bankruptcy before 2027?No | sell | 32.49 | $0.972 | $31.58 | 18d ago |
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?No | sell | 60 | $0.976 | $58.56 | 18d ago |
Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy before 2027?-kuQeNo | sell | 33 | $0.976 | $32.21 | 18d ago |
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?No | sell | 51 | $0.980 | $49.98 | 18d ago |
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No | sell | 87 | $0.960 | $83.52 | 18d ago |
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No | sell | 40 | $0.810 | $32.4 | Mar 4, 2026 |
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No | buy | 40 | $0.820 | $32.8 | Mar 4, 2026 |
Xi Jinping out before 2027?No | buy | 18 | $0.930 | $16.74 | Feb 4, 2026 |
1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?No | buy | 19 | $0.982 | $18.66 | Feb 2, 2026 |
Will Anthropic’s market cap be less than $100B at market close on IPO day?No | buy | 18 | $0.994 | $17.89 | Jan 31, 2026 |
US recession by end of 2026?No | buy | 19 | $0.730 | $13.87 | Jan 31, 2026 |
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?No | buy | 18 | $0.976 | $17.57 | Jan 29, 2026 |
Trump out as President before 2027?No | buy | 17 | $0.860 | $14.62 | Jan 27, 2026 |
EU dissolves before 2027?No | buy | 17.8 | $0.955 | $17 | Jan 25, 2026 |
Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy before 2027?-kuQeNo | buy | 18 | $0.978 | $17.6 | Jan 23, 2026 |
Xi Jinping divorce before 2027?No | buy | 18 | $0.987 | $17.77 | Jan 22, 2026 |
Fed abolished before 2027?No | buy | 18 | $0.965 | $17.37 | Jan 20, 2026 |
Will Vladimir Putin win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?No | buy | 19 | $0.995 | $18.91 | Jan 18, 2026 |
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?No | buy | 17 | $0.961 | $16.34 | Jan 16, 2026 |
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No | buy | 17 | $0.920 | $15.64 | Jan 15, 2026 |
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No | buy | 18 | $0.880 | $15.84 | Jan 14, 2026 |
US civil war before 2027?No | buy | 16 | $0.918 | $14.69 | Jan 13, 2026 |
Will OpenAI announce bankruptcy before 2027?No | buy | 15 | $0.962 | $14.43 | Jan 12, 2026 |
China coup attempt before 2027?No | buy | 17.8 | $0.963 | $17.14 | Jan 10, 2026 |
US defaults on debt by 2027?No | buy | 14 | $0.978 | $13.69 | Jan 8, 2026 |
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?No | buy | 13 | $0.957 | $12.44 | Jan 3, 2026 |
Will Gold close at $3,100-3,200 at the end of 2025?No | sell | 92 | $0.999 | $91.91 | Dec 30, 2025 |
Will Gold close at $3,100-3,200 at the end of 2025?No | buy | 108 | $0.999 | $107.89 | Dec 28, 2025 |
Will China invade Taiwan in 2025?No | sell | 103 | $0.998 | $102.79 | Dec 26, 2025 |
Will China invade Taiwan in 2025?No | buy | 109 | $0.998 | $108.78 | Dec 25, 2025 |
Will China invade Taiwan in 2025?No | sell | 107 | $0.995 | $106.47 | Dec 21, 2025 |
Will China invade Taiwan in 2025?No | buy | 109 | $0.996 | $108.56 | Dec 20, 2025 |
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025?No | sell | 91 | $0.994 | $90.45 | Dec 17, 2025 |
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025?No | buy | 108 | $0.995 | $107.46 | Dec 16, 2025 |
Will Gold close at $3,200 or more at the end of 2025?Yes | sell | 111.6 | $0.994 | $110.93 | Dec 11, 2025 |
Will Gold close at $3,200 or more at the end of 2025?Yes | buy | 111.61 | $0.995 | $111 | Dec 10, 2025 |
Xi Jinping out in 2025?No | sell | 120 | $0.988 | $118.56 | Dec 6, 2025 |
Xi Jinping out in 2025?No | buy | 107 | $0.989 | $105.82 | Dec 6, 2025 |