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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | Yes | 138.03 | $0.351 | $81.65 | +$33.2 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Yes | buy | 138.03 | $0.351 | $48.45 | 24d ago |
 |
| buy |
| 345.84 |
| $0.197 |
| $68.13 |
| Jun 20, 2026 |
 Will Angela Rayner be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?Yes | buy | 109.48 | $0.210 | $22.99 | May 14, 2026 |
 Will Wes Streeting be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?Yes | buy | 208.33 | $0.120 | $25 | May 14, 2026 |
 Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Yes | buy | 165.28 | $0.290 | $47.93 | May 11, 2026 |
 Will Ukraine be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?Yes | buy | 70 | $0.700 | $49 | May 4, 2026 |
 Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?Yes | buy | 133.51 | $0.367 | $49 | Apr 26, 2026 |
 Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?Yes | buy | 227.77 | $0.300 | $68.33 | Mar 17, 2026 |
 Will Norwich City FC win on 2026-03-07?Yes | buy | 107.14 | $0.140 | $15 | Mar 8, 2026 |
 Will MrBeast say "Subscribe" during his next YouTube video?Yes | buy | 184.07 | $0.591 | $108.71 | Feb 21, 2026 |
 Peter Mandelson charged by March 31?Yes | buy | 58.06 | $0.317 | $18.38 | Feb 4, 2026 |
 Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30?Yes | buy | 278.89 | $0.179 | $50 | Jan 30, 2026 |
 Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 83.33 | $0.300 | $25 | Jan 29, 2026 |
 Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 192.31 | $0.390 | $75 | Jan 29, 2026 |
 Will Tesla (TSLA) beat quarterly earnings?Yes | buy | 80 | $0.250 | $20 | Jan 27, 2026 |
 US government shutdown Saturday?No | buy | 86.96 | $0.230 | $20 | Jan 27, 2026 |
 Will the US strike Somalia next?No | buy | 1.39K | $0.014 | $20 | Jan 27, 2026 |
 Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?Yes | buy | 343.65 | $0.170 | $58.42 | Dec 22, 2025 |
| Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?Yes | buy | 263.16 | $0.190 | $50 | Dec 19, 2025 |
 TikTok sale announced in 2025?Yes | sell | 131.57 | $0.807 | $106.19 | Dec 19, 2025 |
 Will Jensen Huang flip AI for Time Person of the Year by Friday?Yes | buy | 192.31 | $0.260 | $50 | Dec 5, 2025 |
 Will Bill Ackman say "Trump" 4+ times during the X Space event on November 18?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.600 | $18 | Nov 18, 2025 |
 Will Keir Starmer say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.300 | $9 | Nov 18, 2025 |
| Will Bill Ackman say "Trump" 4+ times during the X Space event on November 18?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.600 | $12 | Nov 18, 2025 |
| Will Bill Ackman say "Zohran" or "Mamdani" during the X Space event on November 18?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.450 | $4.5 | Nov 18, 2025 |
 Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?Yes | buy | 74 | $0.310 | $22.94 | Nov 9, 2025 |
| Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.250 | $25 | Nov 9, 2025 |
 Palantir (PLTR) Up or Down on October 30?Up | buy | 108.76 | $0.448 | $48.73 | Oct 30, 2025 |
| TikTok sale announced in 2025?Yes | buy | 131.58 | $0.380 | $50 | Oct 30, 2025 |
 Will Sora by OpenAI be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 31?Yes | buy | 83.97 | $0.590 | $49.54 | Oct 26, 2025 |
| Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?Yes | buy | 43.53 | $0.340 | $14.8 | Oct 23, 2025 |
 Will Taylor Swift be the top Spotify artist for 2025?Yes | sell | 256.41 | $0.058 | $14.81 | Oct 23, 2025 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?Yes | buy | 122.77 | $0.220 | $27.01 | Oct 18, 2025 |
 Will the Government shutdown end November 16 or later?Yes | buy | 101.44 | $0.414 | $42 | Oct 18, 2025 |
| Will the Government shutdown end October 31-November 3?Yes | sell | 500 | $0.138 | $69 | Oct 18, 2025 |
| Will the Government shutdown end November 16 or later?Yes | buy | 80.48 | $0.373 | $30.02 | Oct 17, 2025 |
| Will the Government shutdown end November 4-7?Yes | buy | 129.41 | $0.170 | $22 | Oct 15, 2025 |
| Will the Government shutdown end October 31-November 3?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.200 | $100 | Oct 15, 2025 |
| Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?Yes | buy | 168.03 | $0.330 | $55.45 | Oct 5, 2025 |
 Will the Government shutdown end October 15+?Yes | buy | 152.02 | $0.440 | $66.89 | Oct 2, 2025 |
| Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?Yes | buy | 311.22 | $0.320 | $99.59 | Sep 5, 2025 |
| Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?Yes | buy | 344.75 | $0.292 | $100.64 | Aug 17, 2025 |
 Will Trump sell 1-100 Gold Cards in 2025?Yes | buy | 483 | $0.080 | $38.64 | Aug 13, 2025 |
| Will Taylor Swift be the top Spotify artist for 2025?Yes | buy | 256.41 | $0.390 | $100 | Aug 13, 2025 |