Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Apr 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.2%. Yes opened at 21.5% on 4 Feb 2026. Before it settled, across the 57 daily closes on record from 4 Feb 2026 to 1 Apr 2026, the highest close was 40% on 20 Feb 2026 and the lowest 0.9% on 31 Mar 2026. Its largest one-day move was 25 points up, to 40% on 20 Feb 2026. $72.95K traded over the market's life.
49 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Apr 2, 6:08 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 57 points, 4 Feb 2026 – 1 Apr 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 4 Feb 2026 | 21.5% |
| 1 Apr 2026 | 0.9% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| chefepanda | Yes | 6.36K |
| steamrolling | Yes | 2K |
| Scrubdaddy | Yes | 433.47 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, in any jurisdiction, any law enforcement or legal authority formally charges or otherwise announces a criminal indictment of Peter Mandelson, the former member of the British House of Lords, by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant government, law enforcement, and legal entities; however, a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/peter-mandelson-charged-by-march-31
| Yes |
| 398.04 |
| 0xRocket666 | Yes | 200 |
| markb0t11 | Yes | 200 |
| 5atka | Yes | 182 |
| itsharzy | Yes | 67.9 |
| miska11 | Yes | 66.25 |
| riks | Yes | 58.06 |
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