Analytics
Resolved No on 20 Jul 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.9%. Yes opened at 20% on 6 Feb 2026. Before it settled, across the 160 daily closes on record from 6 Feb 2026 to 20 Jul 2026 (5 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 25% on 20 Mar 2026 and the lowest 0.1% on 14 Jul 2026. Its largest one-day move was 7.5 points up, to 18.5% on 12 May 2026. $968.15K traded over the market's life.
241 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 21, 1:27 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 160 points, 6 Feb 2026 – 20 Jul 2026, chart shows 0%–30%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 6 Feb 2026 | 20.0% |
| 20 Jul 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 368.69K |
| Blind Chicken | Yes | 95K |
| AJM96 | Yes | 21.96K |
This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed as Prime Minister of the United Kingdom by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed by the United Kingdom Monarch. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is appointed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Next PM in 2026”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/next-uk-prime-minister-in-2026-122
New to prediction markets?
| FxnEdge | Yes | 17.77K |
| turak | Yes | 11.09K |
| rwcoffee | Yes | 6.14K |
| agggr | Yes | 5.24K |
| Detailed-Lip | Yes | 4.73K |
| Bulky-Servant | Yes | 3.33K |
| Complicated-Damage | Yes | 3.02K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
