Analytics
The cohort performance summary keeps its original period. These positions are a separate Polymarket observation and do not establish complete position history.
A complete provider position result is unavailable. Missing positions and amounts are not shown as zero holdings.
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? | No | 29.26K | $0.379 | $25.31K | +$14.23K |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 915 | $0.398 | $364 | Aug 8, 2026 |
 |
| Yes |
| 10.43K |
| $0.190 |
| $6.53K |
| +$4.55K |
 Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027? | No | 6.14K | $0.704 | $4.45K | +$130.96 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? | No | 4.2K | $0.714 | $4.14K | +$1.14K |
 Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | Yes | 4.6K | $0.783 | $3.89K | +$289.2 |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31? | Yes | 12.49K | $0.554 | $3.37K | -$3.55K |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31? | Yes | 17.2K | $0.444 | $1.98K | -$5.66K |
 Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? | Yes | 8.18K | $0.538 | $1.76K | -$2.64K |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? | No | 1.79K | $0.280 | $1.65K | +$1.15K |
 UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31? | Yes | 2.85K | $0.351 | $385 | -$615 |
| Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | Yes | 10.29K | $0.445 | $313.77 | -$4.27K |
| US charges Hormuz fees by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 8.62K | $0.093 | $305.86 | -$494.12 |
 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 3.13K | $0.320 | $296.88 | -$703.13 |
 Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026? | No | 175.44 | $0.570 | $147.37 | +$47.37 |
 Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | Yes | 348.5 | $0.287 | $74.58 | -$25.42 |
 Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? | No | 79.19 | $0.631 | $70.87 | +$20.87 |
 Will Japan recognize Palestine before 2027? | No | 62.68 | $0.798 | $58.29 | +$8.29 |
 Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? | Yes | 405 | $0.240 | $26.33 | -$70.92 |
 Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31? | No | 28.13 | $0.711 | $25.45 | +$5.45 |
 Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31? | Yes | 135.57 | $0.382 | $16.27 | -$35.53 |
 Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? | Yes | 50 | $0.350 | $14.75 | -$2.75 |
 Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 401.09 | $0.125 | $12.63 | -$37.37 |
 China x India military clash by December 31, 2026? | No | 5 | $0.800 | $4.68 | +$0.68 |
 Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by December 31, 2026? | No | 5 | $0.850 | $4.68 | +$0.43 |
 Will another country leave OPEC in 2026? | No | 7.14 | $0.700 | $4.57 | -$0.43 |
| buy |
| 317 |
| $0.517 |
| $164.02 |
| Aug 8, 2026 |
| Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027?No | buy | 2.82K | $0.710 | $2K | Aug 8, 2026 |
| Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027?No | buy | 3.32K | $0.698 | $2.32K | Aug 8, 2026 |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31?Yes | buy | 163 | $0.550 | $89.65 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes | buy | 4.6K | $0.783 | $3.6K | Aug 7, 2026 |
 US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?Yes | buy | 2.05K | $0.732 | $1.5K | Aug 7, 2026 |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 3.13K | $0.320 | $1K | Aug 7, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?No | buy | 553.42 | $0.730 | $404 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?No | buy | 1.37K | $0.730 | $1K | Aug 7, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.24K | $0.508 | $630.69 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 962.88 | $0.519 | $500 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?No | buy | 969.19 | $0.510 | $494 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 993 | $0.510 | $506.43 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?Yes | buy | 2K | $0.100 | $200 | Aug 7, 2026 |
 US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 31?Yes | buy | 462.37 | $0.497 | $230 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 15?Yes | buy | 1.09K | $0.446 | $486.92 | Aug 7, 2026 |
 Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by August 15?Yes | buy | 2.42K | $0.765 | $1.85K | Aug 7, 2026 |
| US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 31?Yes | buy | 970.37 | $0.504 | $489.15 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 15?Yes | buy | 191.17 | $0.398 | $76 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31?Yes | buy | 35.3 | $0.530 | $18.71 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?Yes | buy | 1.18K | $0.494 | $581.8 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?No | sell | 661.11 | $0.880 | $581.52 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?Yes | buy | 646.91 | $0.493 | $319 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?Yes | buy | 2.04K | $0.490 | $1K | Aug 7, 2026 |
| Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?Yes | buy | 1.04K | $0.480 | $500 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?Yes | buy | 1.96K | $0.450 | $881.97 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?Yes | buy | 322.33 | $0.440 | $141.83 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31?Yes | buy | 55.62 | $0.543 | $30.19 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31?Yes | buy | 147.98 | $0.557 | $82.44 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 15?Yes | buy | 521.76 | $0.415 | $216.53 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?Yes | buy | 1.63K | $0.430 | $700 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?No | sell | 750 | $0.845 | $634.03 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31?Yes | buy | 515 | $0.512 | $263.65 | Aug 6, 2026 |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?Yes | buy | 929.87 | $0.398 | $370 | Aug 6, 2026 |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?Yes | buy | 135.79 | $0.368 | $50 | Aug 6, 2026 |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?Yes | buy | 1.35K | $0.370 | $500 | Aug 6, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?No | sell | 153 | $0.700 | $107.02 | Aug 6, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?No | sell | 665 | $0.630 | $419.07 | Aug 6, 2026 |
| Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?Yes | buy | 1.07K | $0.610 | $652 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?Yes | buy | 2.25K | $0.400 | $900 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31?Yes | buy | 2K | $0.500 | $1K | Aug 5, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 1.79K | $0.280 | $500 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 2.13K | $0.469 | $1K | Aug 5, 2026 |
| US charges Hormuz fees by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 3.06K | $0.098 | $300 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| US charges Hormuz fees by August 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 4.31K | $0.023 | $100 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| US charges Hormuz fees by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 5.56K | $0.090 | $500 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?Yes | buy | 552.94 | $0.630 | $348.35 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?Yes | buy | 215 | $0.490 | $105.35 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31?Yes | buy | 1.9K | $0.579 | $1.1K | Aug 5, 2026 |