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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
New state Bitcoin reserve before March?Yes | buy | 19.23 | $0.260 | $5 | Jan 21, 2025 |
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| buy |
| 38.46 |
| $0.130 |
| $5 |
| Jan 21, 2025 |
Lula out before April?Yes | buy | 94.53 | $0.053 | $5 | Jan 21, 2025 |
Will Elon Musk buy TikTok before April?Yes | buy | 31.25 | $0.160 | $5 | Jan 21, 2025 |
Will TikTok be on the App Store by Friday?Yes | buy | 33.33 | $0.150 | $5 | Jan 21, 2025 |
TikTok banned in the US before May 2025?No | buy | 31.25 | $0.160 | $5 | Jan 18, 2025 |
Trump Cabinet confirmation on Day 1?No | buy | 91.98 | $0.109 | $10 | Jan 16, 2025 |
Israel announces ceasefire by Sunday?No | buy | 42.11 | $0.190 | $8 | Jan 16, 2025 |
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by January 31?No | buy | 602.77 | $0.050 | $30 | Jan 16, 2025 |
Coinbase top 20 app December 13?Yes | buy | 555.56 | $0.009 | $5 | Dec 12, 2024 |
Fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after December 2024 meeting?Yes | buy | 277.78 | $0.018 | $5 | Dec 12, 2024 |
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2024 meeting?Yes | buy | 114.11 | $0.044 | $5 | Dec 12, 2024 |
World Chess Championship 2024 WinnerDing | buy | 5K | $0.001 | $5 | Dec 12, 2024 |
Yoon out as president of South Korea in 2024?Yes | buy | 240.85 | $0.130 | $31.31 | Dec 12, 2024 |
Record turnout in 2024 Presidential election?Yes | sell | 92.59 | $0.027 | $2.5 | Nov 21, 2024 |
Will Joe pardon Hunter Biden?Yes | buy | 178.57 | $0.280 | $50 | Nov 4, 2024 |
Will Joe Rogan announce he is voting for Trump?Yes | buy | 47.37 | $0.190 | $9 | Nov 4, 2024 |
Record turnout in 2024 Presidential election?Yes | buy | 92.59 | $0.540 | $50 | Nov 4, 2024 |
Trump wins a solid blue state?Yes | buy | 91.7 | $0.164 | $15 | Nov 4, 2024 |
Kamala Harris wins a solid red state?Yes | buy | 55.56 | $0.270 | $15 | Nov 4, 2024 |
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 707.55 | $0.424 | $300 | Nov 4, 2024 |