Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Mar 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.4%. Yes opened at 26% on 22 Jan 2025. Before it settled, across the 39 daily closes on record from 22 Jan 2025 to 1 Mar 2025, the highest close was 26% on 22 Jan 2025 and the lowest 0.6% on 1 Mar 2025. Its largest one-day move was 9 points down, to 8.5% on 28 Jan 2025. $63.6K traded over the market's life.
15 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 2, 7:12 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 39 points, 22 Jan 2025 – 1 Mar 2025, chart shows 0%–40%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 22 Jan 2025 | 26.0% |
| 1 Mar 2025 | 0.6% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| KimbalMusk | Yes | 2.59K |
| Getyourhandoffmypenis | Yes | 1K |
| Yellowish-Close | Yes | 857.15 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any US state holds any amount of Bitcoin in its reserves at any point between January 20, 2025, ET and February 28, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Note that a state confiscating Bitcoin does not count as holding Bitcoin reserves. Only a state government acquiring Bitcoin to hold in reserve will count toward a "Yes" resolution; a lower government such as a municipality acquiring Bitcoin will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from a relevant state government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/new-state-bitcoin-reserve-before-march
| Yes |
| 398.88 |
| PolyM | Yes | 195.77 |
| Sharman | Yes | 120 |
| Gaet2get | Yes | 50 |
| Elfers | Yes | 20 |
| KLappeioia | Yes | 20 |
| twhsaw | Yes | 20 |
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