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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Trump declassifies JFK files in first week?Yes | buy | 750 | $0.005 | $3.75 | Jan 31, 2025 |
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| sell |
| 25 |
| $0.150 |
| $3.75 |
| Jan 31, 2025 |
Trump declassifies JFK files in first week?Yes | buy | 392 | $0.010 | $3.92 | Jan 29, 2025 |
Bitcoin above $105,000 on January 31?Yes | sell | 14 | $0.280 | $3.92 | Jan 29, 2025 |
Will Trump appeal his hush money conviction?No | buy | 64.34 | $0.072 | $4.64 | Jan 29, 2025 |
X allowed to operate in China before May?Yes | sell | 83.66 | $0.027 | $2.29 | Jan 29, 2025 |
X allowed to operate in China before May?Yes | sell | 83 | $0.028 | $2.35 | Jan 29, 2025 |
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.2K | $0.002 | $2.4 | Jan 29, 2025 |
Will Trump acquire Greenland in 2025?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.120 | $2.4 | Jan 29, 2025 |
Trump declassifies JFK files in first week?Yes | buy | 2.06K | $0.014 | $28.79 | Jan 29, 2025 |
Trump declassifies JFK files in first week?Yes | buy | 714.29 | $0.014 | $10 | Jan 29, 2025 |
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by January 31, 2025?Yes | sell | 44.71 | $0.100 | $4.47 | Jan 29, 2025 |
Will the AfD win 25-30% of the vote in the German election?Yes | buy | 28.9 | $0.173 | $5 | Jan 28, 2025 |
Will Trump acquire Greenland before July?Yes | sell | 95 | $0.052 | $4.94 | Jan 28, 2025 |
Will POTUS tweet 10-14 times Jan 22-29?Yes | sell | 5.55 | $0.376 | $2.09 | Jan 28, 2025 |
Bitcoin above $105,000 on January 31?Yes | buy | 28.57 | $0.350 | $10 | Jan 28, 2025 |
Will Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.200 | $10 | Jan 26, 2025 |
Will Trump create a Bitcoin reserve in first week?Yes | buy | 2K | $0.004 | $8 | Jan 26, 2025 |
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by January 31, 2025?Yes | sell | 41 | $0.390 | $15.99 | Jan 25, 2025 |
Will POTUS tweet 15-19 times Jan 22-29?Yes | buy | 23.33 | $0.300 | $7 | Jan 25, 2025 |
Will Elon tweet 300-324 times Jan 17-24?Yes | sell | 40.06 | $0.375 | $15.04 | Jan 24, 2025 |
Will Trump create a Bitcoin reserve in first week?Yes | buy | 454.55 | $0.011 | $5 | Jan 24, 2025 |
New state Bitcoin reserve before March?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.200 | $10 | Jan 24, 2025 |
Will Elon tweet 350-374 times Jan 17-24?Yes | buy | 24.63 | $0.203 | $5 | Jan 23, 2025 |
Will Elon tweet 325-349 times Jan 17-24?Yes | buy | 35.71 | $0.280 | $10 | Jan 23, 2025 |
Will Elon tweet 300-324 times Jan 17-24?Yes | buy | 40.06 | $0.399 | $16 | Jan 23, 2025 |
Will POTUS tweet 10-14 times Jan 22-29?Yes | buy | 5.56 | $0.360 | $2 | Jan 23, 2025 |
Will POTUS tweet 15-19 times Jan 22-29?Yes | buy | 31.25 | $0.160 | $5 | Jan 23, 2025 |
Pete Hegseth confirmed as Secretary of Defense?No | buy | 104 | $0.067 | $7 | Jan 23, 2025 |
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by January 31, 2025?Yes | buy | 85.71 | $0.350 | $30 | Jan 23, 2025 |
TikTok banned in the US before May 2025?No | sell | 500 | $0.008 | $4 | Jan 21, 2025 |
TikTok banned in the US before May 2025?No | buy | 1K | $0.010 | $10 | Jan 21, 2025 |
X allowed to operate in China before May?Yes | buy | 166.67 | $0.060 | $10 | Jan 21, 2025 |
Trump second inauguration gets more viewers than first?Yes | sell | 94.2 | $0.633 | $59.62 | Jan 21, 2025 |
Will Trump issue less than 10 executive orders on Day 1?Yes | buy | 55.38 | $0.181 | $10 | Jan 21, 2025 |
Will Trump issue less than 10 executive orders on Day 1?Yes | sell | 119.04 | $0.050 | $5.98 | Jan 20, 2025 |
Will Trump issue less than 10 executive orders on Day 1?Yes | buy | 119.05 | $0.210 | $25 | Jan 20, 2025 |
Will Trump say "drill baby drill" during his inauguration speech?Yes | sell | 55.55 | $0.990 | $54.99 | Jan 20, 2025 |
Will Trump say "Elon Musk" during his inauguration speech?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.250 | $10 | Jan 20, 2025 |
Will Trump say "Kamala" during his inauguration speech?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.100 | $5 | Jan 20, 2025 |
Will Trump say "Los Angeles" during his inauguration speech?Yes | sell | 18.62 | $0.991 | $18.45 | Jan 20, 2025 |
Will Trump pardon Ross Ulbricht in his first 100 days?Yes | sell | 20.83 | $0.840 | $17.5 | Jan 20, 2025 |
Will Trump say "Los Angeles" during his inauguration speech?Yes | buy | 18.63 | $0.430 | $8.01 | Jan 20, 2025 |
Will AfD win the most seats in the next German election?Yes | sell | 117.78 | $0.068 | $8.01 | Jan 20, 2025 |
Trump second inauguration gets more viewers than first?Yes | buy | 94.21 | $0.669 | $63.03 | Jan 18, 2025 |
Will Trump say "drill baby drill" during his inauguration speech?Yes | buy | 55.56 | $0.180 | $10 | Jan 18, 2025 |
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by January 31?No | buy | 92.13 | $0.109 | $10 | Jan 16, 2025 |
Will Elon Musk buy TikTok before April?Yes | sell | 38 | $0.100 | $3.8 | Jan 16, 2025 |
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by January 31?No | sell | 111.11 | $0.021 | $2.33 | Jan 15, 2025 |
Yoon arrested by Friday?No | sell | 52 | $0.500 | $26 | Jan 14, 2025 |