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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 11:00PM-11:05PM ETUp | buy | 11.19 | $0.680 | $7.61 | Mar 13, 2026 |
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| sell |
| 7.87 |
| $0.991 |
| $7.8 |
| Mar 13, 2026 |
Ethereum Up or Down - March 12, 10:55PM-11:00PM ETUp | buy | 7.86 | $0.929 | $7.3 | Mar 13, 2026 |
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 3.63 | $0.386 | $1.4 | Mar 13, 2026 |
Will Claude 5 be released by March 31, 2026?No | sell | 1.85 | $0.918 | $1.7 | Mar 13, 2026 |
Will Trump’s approval rating be 40.0–41.9% on December 31?Yes | buy | 1.89 | $0.530 | $1 | Dec 9, 2025 |
Will Israel strike Gaza on December 9?No | buy | 3.7 | $0.540 | $2 | Dec 9, 2025 |
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 3.64 | $0.550 | $2 | Dec 9, 2025 |
Will José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?Yes | sell | 3.44 | $0.971 | $3.34 | Dec 9, 2025 |
Will Claude 5 be released by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.85 | $0.540 | $1 | Sep 17, 2025 |
OpenAI social app in 2025?No | buy | 1.72 | $0.580 | $1 | Sep 17, 2025 |
Trump strikes another drug boat by Sep 30?No | buy | 1.82 | $0.550 | $1 | Sep 17, 2025 |
Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?No | sell | 3.63 | $0.290 | $1.05 | Sep 17, 2025 |
Israel strikes Iran before 2026?Yes | sell | 3.92 | $0.430 | $1.69 | Sep 17, 2025 |
Will José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?Yes | buy | 3.45 | $0.580 | $2 | Jul 23, 2025 |
Will Samuel Doria Medina win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?Yes | buy | 3.7 | $0.540 | $2 | Jul 23, 2025 |
Israel strikes Iran before 2026?Yes | buy | 3.92 | $0.510 | $2 | Jul 23, 2025 |
Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?No | buy | 3.64 | $0.550 | $2 | Jul 23, 2025 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before October?Yes | sell | 4.16 | $0.110 | $0.46 | Jul 23, 2025 |
Negative GDP growth in Q3 2025?Yes | sell | 4 | $0.230 | $0.92 | Jul 23, 2025 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before October?Yes | buy | 4.17 | $0.480 | $2 | Apr 28, 2025 |
Negative GDP growth in Q3 2025?Yes | buy | 4 | $0.500 | $2 | Apr 28, 2025 |
Will the next Pope after Francis be from Italy?Yes | buy | 4.17 | $0.480 | $2 | Apr 28, 2025 |
Will 'Hit Me Hard and Soft' win Album of the Year?No | buy | 1.92 | $0.520 | $1 | Jan 16, 2025 |
Ethereum all time high by June 30?Yes | buy | 1.89 | $0.530 | $1 | Jan 16, 2025 |
Will Inuit Ataqatigiit win the most seats in the next Greenland parliamentary election?No | buy | 4.44 | $0.450 | $2 | Jan 16, 2025 |
Will Andrew Cuomo win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?Yes | buy | 4.44 | $0.450 | $2 | Jan 16, 2025 |
Bitcoin above $100,000 on December 13?No | buy | 6.25 | $0.480 | $3 | Dec 8, 2024 |
Will Barcelona win La Liga?Yes | buy | 6.67 | $0.450 | $3 | Dec 8, 2024 |
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in December?No | buy | 6.12 | $0.490 | $3 | Dec 8, 2024 |
Will Saquon Barkley be the top Fantasy Flex Player?Yes | buy | 6.12 | $0.490 | $3 | Dec 8, 2024 |
<180 MPs vote to impeach Yoon?No | buy | 6.4 | $0.469 | $3 | Dec 8, 2024 |
Another Iran strike on Israel in 2024?No | sell | 2.17 | $0.900 | $1.95 | Dec 6, 2024 |
Will Trump win 55% of voters without a college degree?Yes | buy | 1.89 | $0.530 | $1 | Oct 31, 2024 |
Another Iran strike on Israel in 2024?No | buy | 2.17 | $0.460 | $1 | Oct 31, 2024 |
Trump Sun Belt swing state sweep?Yes | buy | 1.82 | $0.550 | $1 | Oct 31, 2024 |
Will a Republican win Wisconsin Presidential Election?No | buy | 2.13 | $0.470 | $1 | Oct 31, 2024 |
Will a Democrat win Michigan Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 1.85 | $0.540 | $1 | Oct 31, 2024 |
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 5.31 | $0.377 | $2 | Oct 31, 2024 |
Will Kamala Harris go on SNL?No | sell | 3.82 | $0.970 | $3.71 | Oct 31, 2024 |
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 2.11 | $0.473 | $1 | Sep 2, 2024 |
Will Kamala Harris go on SNL?No | buy | 3.82 | $0.523 | $2 | Sep 2, 2024 |
Will Kamala Harris go on SNL?Yes | buy | 4.01 | $0.499 | $2 | Sep 2, 2024 |
Will Russia capture Pokrovsk before November?No | buy | 4.65 | $0.430 | $2 | Sep 2, 2024 |
Will Russia capture Pokrovsk before November?Yes | buy | 3.39 | $0.590 | $2 | Sep 2, 2024 |
US inflation >0.1% from July to August 2024?Yes | buy | 3.45 | $0.580 | $2 | Sep 2, 2024 |
US inflation >0.1% from July to August 2024?No | buy | 4.55 | $0.440 | $2 | Sep 2, 2024 |
Fed rate cut by September 18?No | buy | 22.22 | $0.045 | $1 | Sep 2, 2024 |
Fed rate cut by September 18?No | buy | 111.11 | $0.045 | $5 | Sep 2, 2024 |