Analytics
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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 272.91 | $0.055 | $7.37 | -$7.63 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 217.39 | $0.023 | $5 | Jul 8, 2026 |
 |
| Yes |
| 107.53 |
| $0.093 |
| $5 |
| -$5 |
 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? | Yes | 55.56 | $0.090 | $5 | $0 |
 Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Yes | 357.14 | $0.014 | $3.04 | -$1.96 |
 Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Yes | 38.46 | $0.130 | $2.5 | -$2.5 |
 Trump out as President before 2027? | Yes | 29.41 | $0.170 | $1.62 | -$3.38 |
 Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Yes | 2.55 | $0.392 | $1.41 | +$0.41 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes | 7.14 | $0.140 | $1.18 | +$0.18 |
 Netanyahu out by end of 2026? | Yes | 2.13 | $0.470 | $1.14 | +$0.14 |
 Iran leadership change by December 31? | Yes | 5.88 | $0.170 | $0.85 | -$0.15 |
 Any country withdraws from EU before 2027? | Yes | 14.29 | $0.070 | $0.31 | -$0.69 |
| EU dissolves before 2027? | Yes | 29.41 | $0.034 | $0.22 | -$0.78 |
| sell |
| 6.09 |
| $0.207 |
| $1.26 |
| Jul 8, 2026 |
 Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?Yes | sell | 14.7 | $0.240 | $3.53 | Jul 8, 2026 |
| Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 178.57 | $0.056 | $10 | Jul 8, 2026 |
 Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.100 | $1 | Jul 7, 2026 |
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?No | sell | 1.51 | $0.790 | $1.19 | Jul 6, 2026 |
| Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?Yes | sell | 6.17 | $0.830 | $5.12 | Jul 6, 2026 |
| Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | buy | 2.55 | $0.392 | $1 | Jul 5, 2026 |
 Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31?Yes | buy | 1.75 | $0.570 | $1 | Jul 5, 2026 |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 17.86 | $0.280 | $5 | Jul 5, 2026 |
 Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 5.7 | $0.351 | $2 | Jul 5, 2026 |
| Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 111.11 | $0.009 | $1 | Jul 5, 2026 |
 Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?No | buy | 2.86 | $0.350 | $1 | Jul 5, 2026 |
 Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-07?Yes | buy | 18.52 | $0.270 | $5 | Jul 5, 2026 |
 Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 12.95 | $0.400 | $5.18 | Jul 5, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No | sell | 11.75 | $0.840 | $9.87 | Jul 5, 2026 |
| Netanyahu out by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 2.13 | $0.470 | $1 | Jul 2, 2026 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?Yes | buy | 55.56 | $0.090 | $5 | Jul 2, 2026 |
| Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?Yes | buy | 14.71 | $0.340 | $5 | Jul 2, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | buy | 7.14 | $0.140 | $1 | Jul 2, 2026 |
 Israel closes its airspace by July 31?Yes | buy | 62.5 | $0.080 | $5 | Jul 2, 2026 |
| Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | buy | 38.46 | $0.130 | $5 | Jul 2, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.11K | $0.009 | $10 | Jul 2, 2026 |
 Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by July 31?No | sell | 1.49 | $0.810 | $1.21 | Jun 27, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No | buy | 9.43 | $0.530 | $5 | Jun 26, 2026 |
 Will Bitcoin dip to $52,000 June 22-28?Yes | buy | 166.67 | $0.030 | $5 | Jun 25, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 11.63 | $0.430 | $5 | Jun 25, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $47,500 in June?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.025 | $5 | Jun 25, 2026 |
| Any country withdraws from EU before 2027?Yes | buy | 14.29 | $0.070 | $1 | Jun 25, 2026 |
| Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?Yes | buy | 6.17 | $0.810 | $5 | Jun 25, 2026 |
| Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?Yes | buy | 6.1 | $0.164 | $1 | Jun 25, 2026 |
 Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?Yes | buy | 13.51 | $0.370 | $5 | Jun 25, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 1.52 | $0.660 | $1 | Jun 25, 2026 |
| Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by July 31?No | buy | 1.49 | $0.670 | $1 | Jun 25, 2026 |
| Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | buy | 357.14 | $0.014 | $5 | Jun 25, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No | buy | 2.33 | $0.430 | $1 | Jun 25, 2026 |
| Iran leadership change by December 31?Yes | buy | 5.88 | $0.170 | $1 | Jun 24, 2026 |
 Will Friedrich Merz be the next leader out before 2027?Yes | buy | 549.18 | $0.002 | $1.32 | Jun 24, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "Hottest" during June 24 Rally?No | buy | 50 | $0.100 | $5 | Jun 24, 2026 |
| Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 94.34 | $0.053 | $5 | Jun 24, 2026 |
| Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?Yes | sell | 13.88 | $0.830 | $11.52 | Jun 22, 2026 |
| Israel closes its airspace by July 31?Yes | buy | 33.33 | $0.150 | $5 | Jun 21, 2026 |
| Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?Yes | buy | 13.89 | $0.360 | $5 | Jun 21, 2026 |
 Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 156.25 | $0.064 | $10 | Jun 20, 2026 |
 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No | sell | 19.06 | $0.940 | $17.92 | Jun 20, 2026 |
| Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 27.78 | $0.180 | $5 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| Israel closes its airspace by July 31?Yes | sell | 38.46 | $0.150 | $5.77 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| Israel closes its airspace by June 30?Yes | sell | 7.69 | $0.052 | $0.4 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?No | sell | 10.41 | $0.210 | $2.19 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No | buy | 9.8 | $0.510 | $5 | Jun 17, 2026 |