Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Aug 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.6%. Yes opened at 24.5% on 24 Jun 2026. Before it settled, across the 39 daily closes on record from 24 Jun 2026 to 1 Aug 2026, the highest close was 35.5% on 26 Jun 2026 and the lowest 0.4% on 1 Aug 2026. Its largest one-day move was 16 points down, to 19.5% on 27 Jun 2026. $251.9K traded over the market's life.
77 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Sep 16, 8:30 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 39 points, 24 Jun 2026 – 1 Aug 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 24 Jun 2026 | 24.5% |
| 1 Aug 2026 | 0.4% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| 6089261455 | Yes | 13.03K |
| Gripping-Provision | Yes | 783.61 |
| 23449 | Yes | 672.02 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel announces it has withdrawn all ground forces from Lebanese territory beyond the Litani River by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is sufficient that Israel announces its ground forces have withdrawn from all Lebanese territory beyond the Litani River, regardless of if some specified territory remains under their control or ground incursions by Israeli forces continue. However, an announcement of a planned or future withdrawal will not suffice. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the Israeli government, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming that Israel has withdrawn may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/israeli-forces-withdraw-from-beyond-the-litani-river-by-20260607234645733
| coconut.ba | Yes | 574.19 |
| Classic-Vision | Yes | 547.05 |
| Unnatural-Pup | Yes | 535.45 |
| Swift Pulse 6F64 | Yes | 531.58 |
| karlk | Yes | 399.32 |
| ThatOneGuyNextDoor | Yes | 312.5 |
| huolien | Yes | 240 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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