Analytics
Yes is at 0.7%, down 34 points from 34.5% when the market opened on 8 Sep 2026.
Across the 49 daily closes on record from 8 Sep 2026 to 28 Oct 2026 (3 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 34.5% on 8 Sep 2026 and the lowest 0.7% on 28 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 1%; a month before, 4.3%. Its largest one-day move was 13 points down, to 14% on 12 Sep 2026.
It is one of 3 markets under “Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by…?”.
$10.61K traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $11.38K, with a 1.1% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 102 trades, $85.81 bought Yes and $3.3K bought No.
The largest Yes position is Dr.PNL with 525 shares; the largest No position is Wowiwow with 659. Ten wallets hold 93.5% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Nov 2026, 4 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 28, 3:04 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 49 points, 8 Sep 2026 – 28 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 8 Sep 2026 | 34.5% |
| 28 Oct 2026 | 0.7% |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel announces it has withdrawn all ground forces from Lebanese territory beyond the Litani River by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is sufficient that Israel announces its ground forces have withdrawn from all Lebanese territory beyond the Litani River, regardless of if some specified territory remains under their control or ground incursions by Israeli forces continue. However, an announcement of a planned or future withdrawal will not suffice. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the Israeli government, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming that Israel has withdrawn may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/israeli-forces-withdraw-from-beyond-the-litani-river-by-20260607234645733
| 613b668ef24D3A37417cb5756c5943cae761DA44. |
| Yes |
| 150 |
| flexer78 | Yes | 143.96 |
| xtxpleasecallme | Yes | 102.17 |
| Talophex | No | 100 |
| Fihdrzgdd | Yes | 80 |
| b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD. | Yes | 60.04 |
| GuyFromTinder | No | 50 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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