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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Israel x Lebanon Effective Ceasefire by September 7? | No | 278.3 | $0.990 | $276.91 | +$1.33 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by December 31Yes | sell | 86.03 | $0.170 | $14.63 | 25m ago |
|
| No |
| 241.9 |
| $0.993 |
| $241.05 |
| +$0.8 |
 Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | Yes | 199.98 | $0.177 | $169.68 | +$134.27 |
| Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 181.76 | $0.688 | $124.51 | -$0.51 |
 Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31? | Yes | 1.05K | $0.203 | $120.49 | -$92.83 |
 U.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by December 31? | No | 117.4 | $0.892 | $110.83 | +$6.05 |
| Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 13, 2026? | No | 114.05 | $0.890 | $100.36 | -$1.14 |
| Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 15, 2026? | No | 100 | $0.800 | $87 | +$7 |
 Israeli forces enter Tyre by September 30? | No | 94.06 | $0.939 | $86.25 | -$2.1 |
 Israel withdraws from Lebanon by September 30, 2026? | No | 69.14 | $0.990 | $68.59 | +$0.14 |
 Israel military action against Greater Beirut by September 30? | No | 72.76 | $0.840 | $64.39 | +$3.27 |
 Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Yes | 100 | $0.508 | $57.15 | +$6.35 |
| Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by September 30? | No | 54.09 | $0.980 | $50.03 | -$2.98 |
 Nawaf Salam out as Lebanon PM in 2026? | No | 56.77 | $0.527 | $38.32 | +$8.39 |
 Will Elon post "Trump" on X this week? | No | 40 | $0.740 | $21.8 | -$7.8 |
 Israel x Hezbollah diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? | No | 10 | $0.990 | $9.9 | -$0.01 |
| Will there be no Head of State in Iran end of 2026? | Yes | 200 | $0.008 | $9.2 | +$7.57 |
| Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | Yes | 200 | $0.008 | $2.5 | +$0.87 |
| Will Hassan Rouhani be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | Yes | 200 | $0.008 | $1.5 | -$0.13 |
 Will Kataeb Party win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election? | Yes | 2.16K | $0.023 | $1.08 | -$48.1 |
 Will Watani Alliance win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election? | Yes | 1.89K | $0.023 | $0.95 | -$42.11 |
 Will Mohammad-Bagher Ghalibaf be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | Yes | 200 | $0.008 | $0.9 | -$0.73 |
| Will Masoud Pezeshkian be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | Yes | 200 | $0.008 | $0.9 | -$0.73 |
| Will Ahmad Vahidi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | Yes | 200 | $0.008 | $0.9 | -$0.73 |
| Will Abbas Araghchi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | Yes | 200 | $0.008 | $0.7 | -$0.93 |
| buy |
| 100 |
| $0.800 |
| $80 |
| 1d ago |
| Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 161.76 | $0.690 | $111.61 | 1d ago |
| Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.670 | $13.4 | 1d ago |
| Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 15, 2026?Yes | sell | 161.63 | $0.132 | $21.35 | 1d ago |
| Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by September 30?No | buy | 17.78 | $0.980 | $17.42 | 1d ago |
| Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by September 30?No | buy | 36.31 | $0.980 | $35.58 | 1d ago |
| Israel x Lebanon Effective Ceasefire by September 7?No | buy | 223.17 | $0.998 | $222.66 | 1d ago |
| Israel x Lebanon Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No | buy | 21.39 | $0.999 | $21.37 | 1d ago |
 Israel military action against Lebanon on September 7?Yes | buy | 16.72 | $0.982 | $16.43 | 1d ago |
| Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 15, 2026?Yes | sell | 362.17 | $0.276 | $99.98 | 2d ago |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 64 | $0.990 | $63.36 | 2d ago |
 Will Zelenskyy post 0-19 posts from September 4 to September 11, 2026?No | buy | 127.56 | $0.999 | $127.43 | 2d ago |
| Israel x Lebanon Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No | buy | 146 | $0.998 | $145.75 | 2d ago |
| Will Elon post "Border" on X this week?No | buy | 371.9 | $0.999 | $371.36 | 2d ago |
| Will Elon post "Mexico" on X this week?No | buy | 412.96 | $0.999 | $412.36 | 2d ago |
| Will Elon post "Texas" on X this week?No | buy | 61.73 | $0.990 | $61.11 | 2d ago |
| Israel military action against Lebanon on September 6?Yes | buy | 790 | $0.997 | $787.47 | 2d ago |
| Israel military action against Lebanon on September 6?Yes | buy | 248.99 | $0.992 | $246.95 | 2d ago |
| Will Elon post "Iran" or "Iranian" on X this week?No | buy | 320.62 | $0.997 | $319.66 | 2d ago |
| Will Elon post "Bitcoin," "Crypto," or "Cryptocurrency" on X this week?No | buy | 52.77 | $0.988 | $52.13 | 2d ago |
| Will Elon post "Texas" on X this week?No | buy | 8 | $0.990 | $7.92 | 2d ago |
| Will Elon post "ChatGPT" on X this week?No | buy | 63.64 | $0.986 | $62.75 | 2d ago |
| Will Elon post "Iran" or "Iranian" on X this week?No | buy | 39.1 | $0.990 | $38.7 | 2d ago |
| Will Elon post "Video game" or "Videogame" on X this week?No | buy | 69.73 | $0.990 | $69.03 | 2d ago |
| Will Elon post "Deport" or "Deported" on X this week?No | buy | 69.73 | $0.990 | $69.03 | 2d ago |
| Will Elon post "Tweak" on X this week?No | buy | 69.73 | $0.990 | $69.03 | 2d ago |
| Will Elon post "Sam" or "Altman" on X this week?No | buy | 69.73 | $0.990 | $69.03 | 2d ago |
| Will Elon post "Trump" on X this week?No | buy | 37.08 | $0.990 | $36.71 | 2d ago |
| Will Elon post "Border" on X this week?No | buy | 81.44 | $0.981 | $79.9 | 2d ago |
| Will Elon post "Mexico" on X this week?No | buy | 21.47 | $0.987 | $21.2 | 2d ago |
| Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.508 | $50.8 | 3d ago |
| Israel military action against Lebanon on September 6?Yes | buy | 180 | $0.990 | $178.2 | 3d ago |
| Israel military action against Lebanon on September 6?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.980 | $19.6 | 3d ago |
| Israel military action against Lebanon on September 6?Yes | buy | 310 | $0.980 | $303.8 | 3d ago |
 Will CZ post 0-19 posts from September 4 to September 11, 2026?No | buy | 19.99 | $0.940 | $18.79 | 3d ago |
| Will CZ post 0-19 posts from September 4 to September 11, 2026?No | buy | 42.42 | $0.990 | $42 | 3d ago |
| Israeli forces enter Tyre by September 30?No | buy | 55.78 | $0.937 | $52.29 | 3d ago |
| Israel x Lebanon Effective Ceasefire by September 7?No | buy | 55.13 | $0.960 | $52.92 | 3d ago |
| Will Zelenskyy post 0-19 posts from September 4 to September 11, 2026?No | buy | 10 | $0.998 | $9.98 | 4d ago |
| Will Elon post "Trump" on X this week?No | buy | 40 | $0.740 | $29.6 | 4d ago |
| Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 13, 2026?No | buy | 114.05 | $0.890 | $101.5 | 4d ago |
| Israel x Lebanon Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No | buy | 53.51 | $0.990 | $52.97 | 4d ago |
| Israel x Hezbollah diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 10 | $0.990 | $9.9 | 4d ago |
| Israel x Lebanon Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No | buy | 21 | $0.960 | $20.16 | 4d ago |
| Israel military action against Lebanon on September 4?Yes | buy | 21 | $0.910 | $19.1 | 4d ago |
| Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 523.8 | $0.426 | $223.2 | 4d ago |
 Will Iran target Jordan by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 16.75 | $0.800 | $13.4 | 4d ago |
| Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 9, 2026?Yes | sell | 78.85 | $0.030 | $2.4 | 4d ago |
| Will Iran target Jordan by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 130.21 | $0.861 | $112.08 | 4d ago |