Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day? | Yes | 323.76 | $0.090 | $0.81 | -$28.39 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes | buy | 34.19 | $0.200 | $6.84 | Jul 23, 2026 |
|
| buy |
| 50 |
| $0.200 |
| $10 |
| Jul 23, 2026 |
 Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by July 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 17.76 | $0.190 | $3.37 | Jul 20, 2026 |
 Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31?Yes | buy | 78.95 | $0.210 | $16.58 | Jul 18, 2026 |
| Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31?Yes | buy | 15 | $0.210 | $3.15 | Jul 18, 2026 |
 Israel closes its airspace by July 31?Yes | buy | 29.74 | $0.180 | $5.35 | Jul 18, 2026 |
| Israel closes its airspace by July 31?Yes | buy | 38.22 | $0.200 | $7.64 | Jul 18, 2026 |
| Israel closes its airspace by July 31?Yes | buy | 11.81 | $0.190 | $2.24 | Jul 18, 2026 |
| Israel closes its airspace by July 31?Yes | buy | 11.71 | $0.190 | $2.22 | Jul 18, 2026 |
| Israel closes its airspace by July 31?Yes | buy | 10.77 | $0.210 | $2.26 | Jul 18, 2026 |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 140.91 | $0.140 | $19.73 | Jul 18, 2026 |
 Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 23.31 | $0.090 | $2.1 | Jul 18, 2026 |
| Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 192.5 | $0.090 | $17.33 | Jul 18, 2026 |
 Will Russell Fry be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?Yes | buy | 116.49 | $0.130 | $15.14 | Jul 17, 2026 |
| Will Russell Fry be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?Yes | buy | 36.5 | $0.130 | $4.75 | Jul 17, 2026 |
 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?Yes | buy | 100.27 | $0.200 | $20.05 | Jul 17, 2026 |
 Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?Yes | buy | 61.64 | $0.060 | $3.7 | Jul 17, 2026 |
| Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?Yes | buy | 35.15 | $0.090 | $3.16 | Jul 17, 2026 |
| Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?Yes | buy | 58.12 | $0.080 | $4.65 | Jul 17, 2026 |
| Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?Yes | buy | 52.19 | $0.100 | $5.22 | Jul 17, 2026 |
| Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?Yes | buy | 27.5 | $0.100 | $2.75 | Jul 17, 2026 |
 Will there be between 0 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on July 31?No | buy | 102.84 | $0.195 | $20.05 | Jul 17, 2026 |
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?Yes | buy | 111.41 | $0.180 | $20.05 | Jul 17, 2026 |
 Will Lionel Messi score 10+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 55.16 | $0.094 | $5.19 | Jul 17, 2026 |
| Will Lionel Messi score 10+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 145.16 | $0.092 | $13.35 | Jul 17, 2026 |
 Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 24, 2026?Yes | buy | 31.64 | $0.190 | $6.01 | Jul 17, 2026 |
| Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 24, 2026?Yes | buy | 206.29 | $0.070 | $14.44 | Jul 17, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?Yes | buy | 176.27 | $0.120 | $21.15 | Jul 17, 2026 |
 Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by August 31?Yes | buy | 302.17 | $0.070 | $21.15 | Jul 17, 2026 |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 24, 2026?Yes | buy | 73 | $0.140 | $10.22 | Jul 15, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 24, 2026?Yes | buy | 16.1 | $0.140 | $2.25 | Jul 15, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 24, 2026?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.110 | $3.3 | Jul 15, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 24, 2026?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.110 | $3.3 | Jul 15, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 24, 2026?Yes | buy | 32.5 | $0.130 | $4.23 | Jul 15, 2026 |
 Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?No | buy | 37.9 | $0.140 | $5.31 | Jul 15, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?No | buy | 18.7 | $0.130 | $2.43 | Jul 15, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?No | buy | 32.4 | $0.130 | $4.21 | Jul 15, 2026 |
 Will Solana dip to $60 in July?Yes | buy | 239.81 | $0.100 | $23.98 | Jul 14, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?No | buy | 21.35 | $0.120 | $2.56 | Jul 14, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?No | buy | 12.6 | $0.170 | $2.14 | Jul 14, 2026 |
 Will Shenna Bellows be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?Yes | buy | 218.01 | $0.110 | $23.98 | Jul 14, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?No | buy | 30.57 | $0.220 | $6.73 | Jul 14, 2026 |
 Iran charges Hormuz fees by July 31?Yes | buy | 117.7 | $0.210 | $24.72 | Jul 13, 2026 |
 0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by July 31?Yes | buy | 77.59 | $0.189 | $14.66 | Jul 12, 2026 |
| 0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by July 31?Yes | buy | 16.53 | $0.190 | $3.14 | Jul 12, 2026 |
| 0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by July 31?Yes | buy | 17.5 | $0.194 | $3.4 | Jul 12, 2026 |
 Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by July 31?Yes | buy | 73.06 | $0.200 | $14.61 | Jul 11, 2026 |
| Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by July 31?Yes | buy | 12 | $0.210 | $2.52 | Jul 11, 2026 |
 Will N’Kiyla “Jasmine” Thomas be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Oklahoma?No | buy | 192.74 | $0.110 | $21.2 | Jul 11, 2026 |
 Israeli forces enter Choukine by July 31?Yes | buy | 78.02 | $0.100 | $7.8 | Jul 10, 2026 |