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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?Yes | sell | 88.08 | $0.120 | $10.57 | Feb 27, 2026 |
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| sell |
| 20.44 |
| $0.560 |
| $11.45 |
| Feb 17, 2026 |
Will the San Antonio Spurs win more than 44.5 regular season games in 2025–26?No | sell | 2.12 | $0.004 | $0.01 | Feb 16, 2026 |
Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the 2025–2026 NBA Atlantic Division?Yes | sell | 1.47 | $0.026 | $0.04 | Feb 16, 2026 |
Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31?No | sell | 1.69 | $0.220 | $0.37 | Feb 16, 2026 |
Metamask FDV above $1B one day after launch?Yes | sell | 1.92 | $0.200 | $0.38 | Feb 16, 2026 |
Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027?No | sell | 1.75 | $0.280 | $0.49 | Feb 16, 2026 |
Cap on gambling loss deductions repealed before 2027?Yes | sell | 1.78 | $0.290 | $0.52 | Feb 16, 2026 |
Will Burt Jones win the 2026 Georgia Governor Republican primary election?Yes | sell | 1.75 | $0.370 | $0.65 | Feb 16, 2026 |
Kraken IPO closing market cap above $22B?Yes | sell | 1.75 | $0.200 | $0.35 | Feb 16, 2026 |
Will Gold have the best performance in 2026?No | sell | 1.78 | $0.410 | $0.73 | Feb 16, 2026 |
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No | sell | 1.88 | $0.450 | $0.85 | Feb 16, 2026 |
5kt meteor strike in 2026?Yes | sell | 1.96 | $0.450 | $0.88 | Feb 16, 2026 |
Will US or Israel strike Iran first?US | sell | 1.72 | $0.550 | $0.95 | Feb 16, 2026 |
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Yes | sell | 1.66 | $0.590 | $0.98 | Feb 15, 2026 |
Will Tesla (TSLA) be the top performing Magnificent 7 company during the week of February 16?Yes | sell | 43.11 | $0.118 | $5.08 | Feb 15, 2026 |
Will Luis Fernando Camacho win the 2026 Santa Cruz gubernatorial election?No | sell | 19.89 | $0.520 | $10.34 | Feb 13, 2026 |
Will Luis Fernando Camacho win the 2026 Santa Cruz gubernatorial election?No | buy | 19.89 | $0.600 | $11.93 | Feb 13, 2026 |
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1.2T?No | sell | 1.78 | $0.750 | $1.34 | Feb 12, 2026 |
Will there be exactly 1 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruption worldwide in 2026?Yes | sell | 1.72 | $0.610 | $1.05 | Feb 12, 2026 |
Will the number of Republican House members who retire in 2026 be between 28 and 31 inclusive?No | sell | 1.63 | $0.540 | $0.88 | Feb 12, 2026 |
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?No | sell | 1.69 | $0.590 | $1 | Feb 12, 2026 |
Will Christine Drazan win the 2026 Oregon Governor Republican primary election?No | sell | 1.72 | $0.630 | $1.08 | Feb 12, 2026 |
Tim Cook out as Apple CEO before 2027?No | sell | 1.67 | $0.660 | $1.1 | Feb 12, 2026 |
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | sell | 1.81 | $0.570 | $1.03 | Feb 12, 2026 |
Will Wix.com (WIX) beat quarterly earnings?Yes | sell | 1.63 | $0.690 | $1.12 | Feb 12, 2026 |
Will MrBeast's next video get less than 60 million views on week 1?Yes | sell | 1.73 | $0.990 | $1.71 | Feb 12, 2026 |
Republican House Odds Up or Down this week?Down | buy | 1.59 | $0.630 | $1 | Feb 12, 2026 |
Will Wix.com (WIX) beat quarterly earnings?Yes | buy | 1.64 | $0.610 | $1 | Feb 10, 2026 |
Will the Bad Bunny Apple Music Super Bowl Halftime Show video get between 40 and 50 million views on day 1?Yes | buy | 1.47 | $0.680 | $1 | Feb 9, 2026 |
Will Verizon/Visible run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?No | sell | 1.78 | $0.740 | $1.32 | Feb 8, 2026 |
Will MrBeast's next video get less than 60 million views on week 1?Yes | buy | 1.74 | $0.575 | $1 | Feb 8, 2026 |
Will there be exactly 1 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruption worldwide in 2026?Yes | buy | 1.72 | $0.580 | $1 | Feb 7, 2026 |
Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?No | sell | 1.81 | $0.740 | $1.34 | Feb 6, 2026 |
Will US or Israel strike Iran first?US | buy | 1.72 | $0.580 | $1 | Feb 6, 2026 |
Will "Tití Me Preguntó" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show?Yes | buy | 1.82 | $0.550 | $1 | Feb 5, 2026 |
Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31?No | buy | 1.69 | $0.590 | $1 | Feb 4, 2026 |
Will Gold have the best performance in 2026?No | buy | 1.79 | $0.560 | $1 | Feb 3, 2026 |
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1.2T?No | buy | 1.79 | $0.560 | $1 | Feb 2, 2026 |
Will "M3GAN 2.0" be the top US Netflix movie this week? (February 3)No | buy | 1.82 | $0.550 | $1 | Feb 1, 2026 |
Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?No | buy | 1.82 | $0.550 | $1 | Jan 31, 2026 |
Will LDP win a majority in the 2026 Japanese snap election?Yes | sell | 1.96 | $0.710 | $1.39 | Jan 30, 2026 |
Will Verizon/Visible run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?No | buy | 1.79 | $0.560 | $1 | Jan 30, 2026 |
U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by January 31, 2026?No | sell | 1.66 | $0.820 | $1.36 | Jan 29, 2026 |
Will Bill Gates be named in newly released Epstein files by March 31?Yes | buy | 1.72 | $0.580 | $1 | Jan 29, 2026 |
Metamask FDV above $1B one day after launch?Yes | buy | 1.92 | $0.520 | $1 | Jan 28, 2026 |
Will LDP win a majority in the 2026 Japanese snap election?Yes | buy | 1.96 | $0.510 | $1 | Jan 27, 2026 |
Will Burt Jones win the 2026 Georgia Governor Republican primary election?Yes | buy | 1.75 | $0.570 | $1 | Jan 26, 2026 |
Will Christy Davis be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Kansas?No | sell | 3.84 | $0.530 | $2.04 | Jan 25, 2026 |
U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by January 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.67 | $0.600 | $1 | Jan 25, 2026 |