Analytics
Resolved Up on 13 Feb 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Up at 36.5%. The Up side opened at 50% on 7 Feb 2026. Before it settled, across the 7 daily closes on record from 7 Feb 2026 to 13 Feb 2026, the highest close was 63.5% on 12 Feb 2026 and the lowest 36.5% on 13 Feb 2026. Its largest one-day move was 27 points down, to 36.5% on 13 Feb 2026. $40.78K traded over the market's life.
25 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Feb 15, 12:26 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Up price, Polymarket CLOB, 7 points, 7 Feb 2026 – 13 Feb 2026, chart shows 30%–70%
| Observed | Up price |
|---|---|
| 7 Feb 2026 | 50.0% |
| 13 Feb 2026 | 36.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| LR1 | Down | 3.65K |
| gambler5000 | Down | 299.99 |
| 0xRocket666 | Down | 152 |
| bjprolo | Down | 100 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
As of market creation, the “Yes” option for the 'Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?' market in the event 'Which party will win the House in 2026?' (https://polymarket.com/event/which-party-will-win-the-house-in-2026?) is priced at 19¢. This market will resolve to “Up” if the “Yes” option for the 'Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?' market in the event 'Which party will win the House in 2026?' (https://polymarket.com/event/which-party-will-win-the-house-in-2026?) is priced higher than 19¢ for a majority of minutes during the one-hour period between 3:00 and 3:59 PM ET on February 13, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A tie in the number of minutes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution. If the underlying market resolves prior to this market, this market will immediately resolve in accordance with the underlying market’s final outcome. The resolution source will be the underlying minute-level price data for the 'Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?' market, which can be viewed using the bar chart on https://derivative.polymarket.com/republican-house-odds-up-or-down-this-week or through the “Get Resolution” tab, with the time set to look at the one-hour window. This will display a one-hour scoring window and the underlying minute-level comparisons. Both interfaces display the same underlying data. Note: This market will resolve according to the price scoring methodology of derivative.polymarket.com.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/republican-house-odds-up-or-down-this-week
| josht17 | Down | 100 |
| Ingalvarez.sol | Down | 100 |
| t189 | Down | 50 |
| tiancs | Down | 50 |
| easternplatypus | Down | 27.38 |
| Turkmuncher | Down | 20 |
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