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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Democrats win the Georgia governor race in 2026? | Yes | 22.39 | $0.536 | $12.54 | +$0.54 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:15PM-5:20PM ETUp | buy | 3.45 | $0.580 | $2 | May 31, 2026 |
|
| Yes |
| 18.42 |
| $0.489 |
| $9.67 |
| +$0.67 |
 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | Yes | 16.28 | $0.368 | $8.22 | +$2.22 |
 Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 5.96 | $0.671 | $5.22 | +$1.22 |
 Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026? | Yes | 12.07 | $0.497 | $4.89 | -$1.11 |
 Trump out as President before 2027? | Yes | 70.75 | $0.184 | $3.89 | -$9.11 |
 Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 33.33 | $0.120 | $3.83 | -$0.17 |
 Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? | Yes | 7.14 | $0.280 | $3.82 | +$1.82 |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | No | 3.75 | $0.800 | $3.61 | +$0.61 |
 5kt meteor strike in 2026? | No | 4.08 | $0.490 | $3.04 | +$1.04 |
 Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 1.1K | $0.010 | $2.75 | -$8.25 |
 Will the Democrats win the Idaho governor race in 2026? | Yes | 83.33 | $0.060 | $2.5 | -$2.5 |
 Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | No | 2.5 | $0.800 | $2.46 | +$0.46 |
 Will the Democrats win the Iowa governor race in 2026? | Yes | 2.7 | $0.370 | $2.04 | +$1.04 |
 Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? | No | 1.82 | $0.550 | $0.85 | -$0.15 |
 Will Tim Walz win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 1.27K | $0.008 | $0.63 | -$9.36 |
| buy |
| 4.17 |
| $0.480 |
| $2 |
| May 31, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:15PM-5:20PM ETUp | buy | 4.17 | $0.480 | $2 | May 31, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:05PM-5:10PM ETUp | buy | 6.67 | $0.300 | $2 | May 31, 2026 |
 Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes | buy | 42.92 | $0.233 | $10 | May 31, 2026 |
 Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Yes | buy | 65.79 | $0.760 | $50 | May 31, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:55PM-5:00PM ETUp | sell | 41.28 | $0.990 | $40.87 | May 31, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:00PM-5:05PM ETUp | buy | 9.09 | $0.550 | $5 | May 31, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:55PM-5:00PM ETUp | buy | 34.25 | $0.730 | $25 | May 31, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:55PM-5:00PM ETUp | buy | 7.04 | $0.710 | $5 | May 31, 2026 |
 Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Colombia's election?Yes | buy | 28.3 | $0.106 | $3 | May 31, 2026 |
 Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Yes | buy | 147.06 | $0.340 | $50 | May 31, 2026 |
| Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes | buy | 33.33 | $0.120 | $4 | May 31, 2026 |
 Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?No | sell | 5.26 | $0.760 | $4 | May 31, 2026 |
| Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?No | buy | 1.82 | $0.550 | $1 | May 3, 2026 |
| Trump out as President before 2027?Yes | buy | 7.14 | $0.140 | $1 | May 3, 2026 |
| Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes | buy | 6.06 | $0.330 | $2 | May 3, 2026 |
 Maduro guilty of all counts?No | sell | 2.22 | $0.830 | $1.84 | May 3, 2026 |
 Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?Yes | sell | 3.03 | $0.800 | $2.42 | May 3, 2026 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No | buy | 3.75 | $0.800 | $3 | Apr 22, 2026 |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 7.55 | $0.530 | $4 | Feb 21, 2026 |
| Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?Yes | buy | 3.03 | $0.330 | $1 | Feb 21, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 7:00PM-7:05PM ETUp | buy | 1.9 | $0.510 | $0.97 | Feb 21, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 7:00PM-7:05PM ETUp | buy | 1.4 | $0.700 | $0.98 | Feb 21, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 6:55PM-7:00PM ETUp | buy | 3.63 | $0.270 | $0.98 | Feb 20, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 7:35AM-7:40AM ETUp | buy | 1.9 | $0.510 | $0.97 | Feb 20, 2026 |
 Will the DHS shutdown last 30 days or more?Yes | buy | 1.69 | $0.590 | $1 | Feb 20, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 7:30AM-7:35AM ETUp | buy | 1.9 | $0.510 | $0.97 | Feb 20, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 7:25AM-7:30AM ETDown | buy | 1.57 | $0.620 | $0.97 | Feb 20, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 4:45AM-4:50AM ETUp | buy | 2.87 | $0.340 | $0.97 | Feb 18, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 4:40AM-4:45AM ETUp | buy | 1.46 | $0.670 | $0.98 | Feb 18, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 4:35AM-4:40AM ETUp | buy | 1.65 | $0.590 | $0.97 | Feb 18, 2026 |
| Will the government shutdown last 5 days or more?Yes | buy | 11.54 | $0.260 | $3 | Jan 31, 2026 |
| Will the government shutdown last 10 days or more?Yes | buy | 11.11 | $0.090 | $1 | Jan 31, 2026 |
| Will the government shutdown last 14 days or more?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.060 | $3 | Jan 31, 2026 |
| Will the government shutdown last 30 days or more?Yes | buy | 86.96 | $0.023 | $2 | Jan 31, 2026 |
| Will the government shutdown last 60 days or more?Yes | buy | 272.73 | $0.011 | $3 | Jan 31, 2026 |
 Will Trump meet with Delcy Rodríguez by March 31?Yes | buy | 7.14 | $0.280 | $2 | Jan 10, 2026 |
| Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes | sell | 22.22 | $0.100 | $2.22 | Jan 10, 2026 |
| Will Trump meet with Delcy Rodríguez by March 31?Yes | buy | 6.67 | $0.150 | $1 | Jan 6, 2026 |
 Will Trump's approval rating be less than 41.0 on January 9, 2026?Yes | buy | 9.09 | $0.110 | $1 | Jan 5, 2026 |
| Will Trump's approval rating be between 41.0 and 41.4 on January 9, 2026?Yes | buy | 9.09 | $0.110 | $1 | Jan 5, 2026 |
| Will Trump's approval rating be between 41.5 and 41.9 on January 9, 2026?Yes | buy | 7.69 | $0.260 | $2 | Jan 5, 2026 |
 Venezuela election scheduled by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.35 | $0.740 | $1 | Jan 5, 2026 |
| Maduro guilty of all counts?No | buy | 2.22 | $0.450 | $1 | Jan 5, 2026 |
 Maduro trial scheduled by January 31?Yes | buy | 3.64 | $0.550 | $2 | Jan 5, 2026 |
 Will Tim Walz drop out by January 6?No | buy | 20 | $0.100 | $2 | Jan 5, 2026 |
| 5kt meteor strike in 2026?No | buy | 4.08 | $0.490 | $2 | Jan 2, 2026 |
 Epstein blackmail evidence released in 2025?No | buy | 500 | $0.002 | $1 | Dec 25, 2025 |
 Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?No | sell | 1.44 | $0.995 | $1.43 | Dec 25, 2025 |