Analytics
Resolved Yes on 15 Mar 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 100%. Yes opened at 24.5% on 16 Feb 2026. Before it settled, the high was 100% on 15 Mar 2026 and the low 24.5% on 16 Feb 2026. Its largest one-day move was 18 points up, to 55.5% on 19 Feb 2026.
94 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Apr 28, 1:33 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 28 points · 16 Feb 2026 – 15 Mar 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 16 Feb 2026 | 24.5% |
| 15 Mar 2026 | 100.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| 881112 | No | 6.43K |
| Swift Meteor 35B2 | No | 5.77K |
| dspree | No | 5K |
| bambamturtle | No | 3.27K |
| Trifling-Barbecue | No | 3.05K |
| polemole | No | 2.91K |
| Maccola | No | 2.58K |
| noneofyourbud | No | 1.66K |
| kgg001 | No | 1.3K |
| Aisix | No | 1K |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Department of Homeland Security shutdown which began on February 14, 2026 lasts for at least the listed number of days, inclusive of the beginning and ending dates. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The end date of the shut down will be determined by the date on which the funding bill required to reopen the Department of Homeland Security is signed by the President or otherwise enacted. The announcement of an impending reopen will not qualify. The resolution sources for this market will be information from official U.S. Government sources and a consensus of credible reporting.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/how-long-will-the-dhs-shutdown-last
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
