Latest trade
Sep 23, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 22, 2:05 PM UTC.
Analytics
Ephemeral is down $60.64 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 50 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-09-29 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Sep 23, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 22, 2:05 PM UTC.
$41.04 median trade
Its latest 50 trades covered 48 markets; 100.0% were buys. They run from Aug 16, 2024 UTC to Sep 23, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
Polymarket returned no open positions for this wallet.
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will MrBeast hit 519 million subscribers by September 30?Yes | buy | 44 | $0.998 | $43.91 | 29d ago |
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-09-29 17:03 UTC
Polymarket public position response
0 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-22 14:05 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
50 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-22 14:05 UTC
polymarket positions
52 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-09-29 17:03 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $130.84 and losing ones cost $148.48 across the latest 50 settled positions. 94% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $116.79 on “Game Handicap: DRX.C (-1.5) vs BNK FearX Youth (+1.5)” (BNK FearX Youth); the largest loss, $116.79 on “Game Handicap: DRX.C (-1.5) vs BNK FearX Youth (+1.5)” (DRX Challengers).
Its most recent trade on record was on 23 Sep 2026. It has traded 56 markets. It holds no open positions.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
Xi meets with Lee Jae-Myung by August 31?No| buy |
| 14.04 |
| $0.997 |
| $14 |
| Aug 26, 2026 UTC |
| Xi meets with Lee Jae-Myung by August 31?No | buy | 3 | $0.997 | $2.99 | Aug 26, 2026 UTC |
 Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $70 in July?No | buy | 25 | $0.991 | $24.78 | Jul 19, 2026 UTC |
 Starmer out by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 17 | $0.980 | $16.66 | Jun 21, 2026 UTC |
| Starmer out by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 59 | $0.980 | $57.82 | Jun 21, 2026 UTC |
 Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 16?No | buy | 55 | $0.999 | $54.95 | Jun 17, 2026 UTC |
 Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 May 4-10?No | buy | 133 | $0.999 | $132.87 | May 10, 2026 UTC |
 Will Opendoor reach $10 in April?No | buy | 72 | $0.998 | $71.86 | Apr 24, 2026 UTC |
 Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?No | buy | 77.67 | $0.999 | $77.59 | Mar 17, 2026 UTC |
 Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 4?No | buy | 16.3 | $0.850 | $13.86 | Mar 4, 2026 UTC |
 Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $420 on February 23?No | buy | 42.2 | $0.998 | $42.12 | Feb 23, 2026 UTC |
 Will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by February 8?No | buy | 40 | $0.999 | $39.96 | Feb 8, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 22, 4:30AM-4:45AM ETUp | buy | 10 | $0.930 | $9.3 | Jan 22, 2026 UTC |
 Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 28?No | buy | 76.88 | $0.997 | $76.65 | Dec 30, 2025 UTC |
 Will Trump meet with Zelenskyy by December 31?No | buy | 85.94 | $0.503 | $43.21 | Dec 26, 2025 UTC |
 Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 3?No | buy | 22.21 | $0.982 | $21.81 | Dec 3, 2025 UTC |
 Will India strike Pakistan by November 14?No | buy | 28.81 | $0.997 | $28.72 | Nov 12, 2025 UTC |
 Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by October 31?No | buy | 29.72 | $0.940 | $27.94 | Oct 22, 2025 UTC |
 Xi Jinping out before October?No | buy | 208.94 | $0.998 | $208.52 | Sep 19, 2025 UTC |
 Israel x Hamas ceasefire by August 15?No | buy | 17.66 | $0.983 | $17.36 | Aug 8, 2025 UTC |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by Friday?No | buy | 17.36 | $0.977 | $16.96 | Jun 20, 2025 UTC |
 Bitcoin Up or Down on May 8?Up | buy | 106.96 | $0.999 | $106.85 | May 8, 2025 UTC |
| Will Elon tweet less than 100 times April 11–18?No | buy | 116.84 | $0.998 | $116.59 | Apr 13, 2025 UTC |
 Will Dogecoin reach $0.60 in March?No | buy | 39.82 | $0.997 | $39.7 | Mar 17, 2025 UTC |
| Will Elon tweet 400-449 times Feb 21-28?No | buy | 96.48 | $0.997 | $96.19 | Feb 25, 2025 UTC |
 Will Berachain's FDV be $15b or more 1 day after launch?No | buy | 18.62 | $0.999 | $18.6 | Feb 7, 2025 UTC |
 Will Trump create a Bitcoin reserve in first week?No | buy | 26.13 | $0.995 | $26 | Jan 25, 2025 UTC |
 Will Biden pardon Ross Ulbricht?No | buy | 27.84 | $0.980 | $27.28 | Jan 17, 2025 UTC |
| Will Elon tweet less than 550 times Jan 3-Jan 10?Yes | buy | 1.72K | $0.001 | $1.72 | Jan 9, 2025 UTC |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2024?No | buy | 30 | $0.997 | $29.91 | Dec 31, 2024 UTC |
 Will China invade Taiwan in 2024?No | buy | 33.81 | $0.997 | $33.71 | Dec 28, 2024 UTC |
 Will Ethereum hit $10k in 2024?No | buy | 30.56 | $0.988 | $30.19 | Dec 6, 2024 UTC |
 Ripple above $1.69 on December 6?Yes | buy | 14.21 | $0.995 | $14.14 | Dec 6, 2024 UTC |
 Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 in November?No | buy | 69.58 | $0.999 | $69.51 | Nov 30, 2024 UTC |
 Will Berachain launch a token in November?No | buy | 24.16 | $0.993 | $23.99 | Nov 23, 2024 UTC |
 Will Trump tweet 50 or more times Nov 8-15?No | buy | 53.62 | $0.997 | $53.46 | Nov 14, 2024 UTC |
 Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 93.24 | $0.997 | $92.96 | Nov 6, 2024 UTC |
 Will Elon tweet less than 250 times November 1-8?No | buy | 20 | $0.999 | $19.98 | Nov 5, 2024 UTC |
 Will Kamala Harris drop out of presidential race?No | buy | 49.75 | $0.999 | $49.7 | Nov 5, 2024 UTC |
| Will Trump tweet less than 30 times Nov 1-8?No | buy | 29.72 | $0.999 | $29.69 | Nov 2, 2024 UTC |
 Trump in jail before election day?No | buy | 23.31 | $0.995 | $23.19 | Oct 30, 2024 UTC |
 Will Trump tweet 10-19 times Oct 25 - Nov 1?No | buy | 92.84 | $0.999 | $92.75 | Oct 26, 2024 UTC |
 Will Elon tweet less than 100 times October 18-25?No | buy | 92.75 | $0.999 | $92.66 | Oct 20, 2024 UTC |
 PartyDAO airdrop by September 30?No | buy | 92.66 | $0.998 | $92.47 | Sep 24, 2024 UTC |
 Will Kamala Harris drop out in August?No | buy | 60.57 | $0.999 | $60.51 | Aug 30, 2024 UTC |
 Trump posts less than 5 times on X?No | buy | 60.5 | $0.999 | $60.44 | Aug 25, 2024 UTC |
| Trump posts 100 or more times on X?No | buy | 60.44 | $0.998 | $60.32 | Aug 21, 2024 UTC |
 Will Trump tweet 7 times this week?No | buy | 60.32 | $0.999 | $60.26 | Aug 18, 2024 UTC |
 Will Trump post 50 or more times this week?No | buy | 60.26 | $0.999 | $60.2 | Aug 16, 2024 UTC |
Placed on fixed scales: no Radar board ranking was cached on this server when the profile was read, so no archetype is claimed. Not drawn for this wallet: 5 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.