Analytics
Resolved Yes on 29 Sep 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 84.2%. Yes opened at 62% on 2 Sep 2026. Before it settled, the high was 98% on 23 Sep 2026 and the low 21.5% on 21 Sep 2026. Its largest one-day move was 59 points up, to 80.5% on 22 Sep 2026. $5.28K traded over the market's life.
14 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 7, 8:03 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 28 points · 2 Sep 2026 – 29 Sep 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 2 Sep 2026 | 62.0% |
| 29 Sep 2026 | 84.2% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Ugly-Advertising | No | 222.74 |
| VJR-24 | No | 200 |
| Our-Sherry | No | 180.71 |
| rette33 | No | 125.72 |
| berlinskies | No | 79.51 |
| LiterateDon | No | 42.46 |
| daily-win-win | No | 39.99 |
| a5533 | No | 24.03 |
| TENETENET | No | 10 |
| 09F911029D74 | No | 9 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the MrBeast YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast) hits the specified number of subscribers by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be the MrBeast YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast) or a consensus of credible reporting.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-mrbeast-hit-million-subscribers-by-september-30-2026
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