Analytics
Resolved No on 21 Jun 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.3%. Yes opened at 13.5% on 16 Jun 2025. Before it settled, across the 6 daily closes on record from 16 Jun 2025 to 21 Jun 2025, the highest close was 18.5% on 17 Jun 2025 and the lowest 0.7% on 21 Jun 2025. Its largest one-day move was 8 points down, to 10.5% on 18 Jun 2025. $1.98M traded over the market's life.
130 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jun 22, 8:24 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 6 points, 16 Jun 2025 – 21 Jun 2025, chart shows 0%–25%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 16 Jun 2025 | 13.5% |
| 21 Jun 2025 | 0.7% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Qb125 | Yes | 34.75K |
| Efragkos | Yes | 18.03K |
| Johnqeazii | Yes | 14.24K |
| Kangs | Yes | 10.84K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ali Khamenei ceases to be Supreme Leader of Iran of for any length of time between June 15, 2025, and June 20, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If Khamenei ceases to be Supreme Leader of Iran for any length of time within this market's timeframe, this market will immediately resolve to "Yes". This market will not resolve to "No" until its timeframe expires and Khamenei has remained Supreme Leader for the entire duration without interruption. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information released by the government of Iran, however, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/khamenei-out-as-supreme-leader-of-iran-by-friday
| 0x2641337 | Yes | 9.13K |
| f770 | Yes | 8.42K |
| berkeleyverse | Yes | 8.17K |
| Humiliating-Planter | Yes | 7.95K |
| fringefinance | Yes | 7.82K |
| alxmar | Yes | 7.33K |
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