Analytics
Resolved No on 20 Oct 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.7%. Yes opened at 0.4% on 19 Oct 2024. Before it settled, across the 2 daily closes on record from 19 Oct 2024 to 20 Oct 2024, the price held at 0.4%. $317.48K traded over the market's life.
8 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 21, 10:03 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 19 Oct 2024 – 20 Oct 2024, chart shows 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 19 Oct 2024 | 0.4% |
| 20 Oct 2024 | 0.3% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 15.78K |
| qrpenc | Yes | 1.68K |
| Tapdraw | Yes | 271.38 |
| Cosmic Beacon 9183 | Yes | 250 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This is a market on predicting the number of tweets Elon Musk will post between October 18 and October 25.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/elon-musk-of-tweets-oct-18-25
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| uptober | Yes | 45 |
| Georgyy | No | 0.09 |
| cccccccccc | Yes | 0.06 |
| trzecie | No | 0.02 |
