Latest trade
Jun 11, 2025 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 20, 3:03 PM UTC.
Analytics
Ancient-Jaguar is down $56.9 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 32 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2025-07-01 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Jun 11, 2025 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 20, 3:03 PM UTC.
$24.75 median trade
Its latest 44 trades covered 32 markets; 79.5% were buys. They run from Nov 10, 2024 UTC to Jun 11, 2025 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
Polymarket returned no open positions for this wallet.
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense before July?No | sell | 95.06 | $0.959 | $91.16 | Jun 11, 2025 UTC |
|
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2025-07-01 06:13 UTC
Polymarket public position response
0 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-20 15:03 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
44 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-20 15:03 UTC
polymarket positions
33 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2025-07-01 06:13 UTC
Last checked just now.
Winning positions brought in $34.16 and losing ones cost $91.06 across 32 settled positions. 78.1% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $20.36 on “Timberwolves vs. Kings” (Timberwolves); the largest loss, $33.08 on “Rockets vs. Bucks” (Rockets).
Its most recent trade on record was on 11 Jun 2025. It has traded 32 markets. It holds no open positions.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| buy |
| 95.07 |
| $0.953 |
| $90.56 |
| Jun 10, 2025 UTC |
 Will Friedrich Merz be the next Chancellor of Germany?Yes | buy | 90.56 | $0.962 | $87.12 | May 6, 2025 UTC |
 Conservatives win majority in Canadian election?No | buy | 87.12 | $0.910 | $79.28 | Apr 7, 2025 UTC |
 Lula out before April?No | buy | 79.28 | $0.997 | $79.04 | Mar 11, 2025 UTC |
 AfD banned before German election?No | buy | 79.04 | $0.999 | $78.96 | Feb 19, 2025 UTC |
 Will Trump issue an executive order on February 9?No | buy | 41.93 | $0.999 | $41.89 | Feb 10, 2025 UTC |
 Trump and Taylor Swift shake hands at Super Bowl LIX?No | buy | 37.04 | $0.999 | $37 | Feb 10, 2025 UTC |
 Will Trump attend Jimmy Carter's state funeral?Yes | buy | 36.59 | $0.989 | $36.19 | Jan 9, 2025 UTC |
 Biden appoints a man as Secret Service Director?No | buy | 42.29 | $0.999 | $42.25 | Jan 9, 2025 UTC |
 Will China invade Taiwan in 2024?No | buy | 78.44 | $0.998 | $78.28 | Dec 30, 2024 UTC |
 Will Kamala Harris win Vermont by the largest margin?Yes | buy | 10.26 | $0.997 | $10.23 | Dec 17, 2024 UTC |
 Will Trump win Wyoming by the largest margin?Yes | buy | 19.16 | $0.999 | $19.14 | Dec 4, 2024 UTC |
 U.S. Presidential election decided by ≤100k votes?No | buy | 24.84 | $0.997 | $24.77 | Dec 3, 2024 UTC |
 Will Trump win Iowa by 12+ points?Yes | buy | 24.76 | $0.999 | $24.74 | Dec 2, 2024 UTC |
 U.S. Presidential election decided by ≤10k votes?No | buy | 24.02 | $0.999 | $24 | Dec 2, 2024 UTC |
 Will Trump do better in Florida or Ohio?Florida | buy | 19.15 | $0.996 | $19.07 | Nov 20, 2024 UTC |
 Nuggets vs. GrizzliesGrizzlies | buy | 50 | $0.620 | $31 | Nov 19, 2024 UTC |
| Rockets vs. BucksRockets | buy | 76.94 | $0.430 | $33.08 | Nov 18, 2024 UTC |
 Will Kamala win New York by 10+ points?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.971 | $9.71 | Nov 18, 2024 UTC |
 House control after 2024 election?Republican | sell | 14 | $0.993 | $13.9 | Nov 18, 2024 UTC |
 Will Trump win Miami?Yes | sell | 25 | $0.972 | $24.3 | Nov 18, 2024 UTC |
| Will Kamala win New York by 10+ points?Yes | buy | 20.22 | $0.989 | $20 | Nov 18, 2024 UTC |
| Timberwolves vs. KingsTimberwolves | buy | 44.26 | $0.540 | $23.9 | Nov 16, 2024 UTC |
| House control after 2024 election?Republican | sell | 24 | $0.996 | $23.9 | Nov 16, 2024 UTC |
| Will Trump win Miami?Yes | buy | 35.99 | $0.999 | $35.95 | Nov 15, 2024 UTC |
 Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?Yes | sell | 37.92 | $0.948 | $35.95 | Nov 15, 2024 UTC |
 Commanders vs. EaglesCommanders | buy | 31.65 | $0.630 | $19.94 | Nov 15, 2024 UTC |
| House control after 2024 election?Republican | sell | 20 | $0.997 | $19.94 | Nov 15, 2024 UTC |
| House control after 2024 election?Republican | buy | 30.2 | $0.995 | $30.05 | Nov 13, 2024 UTC |
 Will Harris win Maine by 5+ points?Yes | buy | 19.33 | $0.998 | $19.29 | Nov 13, 2024 UTC |
| House control after 2024 election?Republican | buy | 23.07 | $0.997 | $23 | Nov 13, 2024 UTC |
 CA-41 election: Rollins (D) vs. Calvert (R)Calvert | sell | 15.27 | $0.591 | $9.03 | Nov 13, 2024 UTC |
| CA-22 election: Salas (D) vs. Valadao (R)Valadao | buy | 30.04 | $0.998 | $29.98 | Nov 12, 2024 UTC |
| CA-41 election: Rollins (D) vs. Calvert (R)Calvert | buy | 15.27 | $0.989 | $15.11 | Nov 12, 2024 UTC |
| House control after 2024 election?Republican | buy | 15.06 | $0.996 | $15 | Nov 12, 2024 UTC |
 Will 3rd parties cost Kamala Michigan?Yes | buy | 19.08 | $0.999 | $19.06 | Nov 11, 2024 UTC |
| Warriors vs. ThunderWarriors | buy | 19.06 | $0.998 | $19.02 | Nov 11, 2024 UTC |
| Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.951 | $19.02 | Nov 11, 2024 UTC |
| Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?Yes | buy | 10.7 | $0.953 | $10.2 | Nov 10, 2024 UTC |
 Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?No | buy | 29.98 | $0.997 | $29.89 | Nov 10, 2024 UTC |
 Will Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 30.11 | $0.996 | $29.99 | Nov 10, 2024 UTC |
 Will a Democrat win Arizona US Senate Election?Yes | buy | 33.27 | $0.992 | $33 | Nov 10, 2024 UTC |
| Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?Yes | buy | 47.22 | $0.953 | $45 | Nov 10, 2024 UTC |
1 of 3 axes ranked against the 121 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 5 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.