Analytics
Resolved Calvert on 14 Nov 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had Calvert at 100%. The Rollins side opened at 24.5% on 16 Aug 2024. Before it settled, across the 91 daily closes on record from 16 Aug 2024 to 14 Nov 2024, the highest close was 69% on 26 Aug 2024 and the lowest 0.1% on 14 Nov 2024. Its largest one-day move was 37 points up, to 67.5% on 23 Aug 2024. $272.56K traded over the market's life.
16 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Nov 15, 7:11 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Rollins price, Polymarket CLOB, 91 points, 16 Aug 2024 – 14 Nov 2024
| Observed | Rollins price |
|---|---|
| 16 Aug 2024 | 24.5% |
| 14 Nov 2024 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| kingfisher | Rollins | 200 |
| Lunar Lynx BBA9 | Rollins | 31.28 |
| Emerald Harbor F255 | Rollins | 2.9 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
United States general elections are scheduled to take place on November 5, 2024. This market will resolve to "Rollins" if Democrat Will Rollins wins the congressional election in California's 41st district. This market will resolve to "Calvert" if Republican Ken Calvert wins the congressional election in California's 41st district. If any other candidate wins the election, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ca-13-election-rollins-d-vs-calvert-r
| Rollins |
| 2.38 |
| Shustrik | Calvert | 1.67 |
| Gabrielle1 | Calvert | 0.72 |
| peps | Calvert | 0.14 |
| riki-002 | Calvert | 0.11 |
| dira | Calvert | 0.1 |
| heath-debitis | Calvert | 0.09 |
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