Analytics
Resolved Valadao on 13 Nov 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had Valadao at 99.7%. The Salas side opened at 42% on 16 Aug 2024. Before it settled, across the 90 daily closes on record from 16 Aug 2024 to 13 Nov 2024, the highest close was 83.5% on 31 Aug 2024 and the lowest 0.3% on 13 Nov 2024. Its largest one-day move was 27 points down, to 8.5% on 8 Nov 2024. $176.27K traded over the market's life.
13 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Nov 14, 3:59 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Salas price, Polymarket CLOB, 90 points, 16 Aug 2024 – 13 Nov 2024
| Observed | Salas price |
|---|---|
| 16 Aug 2024 | 42.0% |
| 13 Nov 2024 | 0.3% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Comebackkid | Salas | 1.75K |
| BasedPleb | Salas | 1.52 |
| Pantagruel | Valadao | 1 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
United States general elections are scheduled to take place on November 5, 2024. This market will resolve to "Salas" if Democrat Rudy Salas wins the congressional election in California's 22nd district. This market will resolve to "Valadao" if Republican David G. Valadao wins the congressional election in California's 22nd district. If any other candidate wins the election, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ca-22-election-salas-d-vs-valadao-r
| Salas |
| 0.17 |
| slavik-059 | Valadao | 0.11 |
| Cam.eth | Valadao | 0.1 |
| Elbertqqw | Salas | 0.09 |
| singa-585 | Valadao | 0.04 |
| brigitte-904 | Valadao | 0.03 |
| needax | Valadao | 0.03 |
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