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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff? | Yes | 1.45 | $0.690 | $1.41 | +$0.41 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Any Brazil STF Justice removed by impeachment before 2027?No | buy | 1.42 | $0.850 | $1.21 | Apr 1, 2026 |
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| No |
| 1.42 |
| $0.850 |
| $1.36 |
| +$0.15 |
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | No | 1.16 | $0.860 | $1.12 | +$0.12 |
China x Japan military clash before 2027? | No | 1.16 | $0.860 | $1.09 | +$0.09 |
Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election? | No | 1.18 | $0.850 | $1.08 | +$0.08 |
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 2 | $0.500 | $1.05 | +$0.05 |
AI bubble burst in 2026? | Yes | 3.23 | $0.310 | $0.36 | -$0.64 |
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Brazil" before 2027? | Yes | 3.7 | $0.270 | $0.28 | -$0.72 |
| sell |
| 4.34 |
| $0.270 |
| $1.17 |
| Apr 1, 2026 |
Will Brazil vs. Croatia end in a draw?Yes | buy | 4.35 | $0.230 | $1 | Mar 27, 2026 |
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 2.43 | $0.430 | $1.04 | Mar 27, 2026 |
Will Neymar play in the World Cup?Yes | buy | 20.11 | $0.357 | $7.17 | Mar 22, 2026 |
Will Russia capture Lyman by March 31, 2026?No | sell | 7.39 | $0.970 | $7.17 | Mar 22, 2026 |
Will Russia capture all of Rodynske by March 31?No | buy | 6.84 | $0.610 | $4.17 | Feb 28, 2026 |
Will Russia capture Lyman by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 7.4 | $0.730 | $5.4 | Feb 18, 2026 |
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 18?Up | sell | 5.87 | $0.920 | $5.4 | Feb 18, 2026 |
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by February 28?No | buy | 2.95 | $0.810 | $2.39 | Feb 17, 2026 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?No | sell | 1.28 | $0.950 | $1.22 | Feb 17, 2026 |
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by February 28?No | sell | 1.22 | $0.962 | $1.17 | Feb 17, 2026 |
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 18?Up | buy | 5.87 | $0.550 | $3.23 | Feb 17, 2026 |
Will Russia capture Sofiivka by February 28?No | sell | 3.55 | $0.910 | $3.23 | Feb 17, 2026 |
Will Russia capture Sofiivka by February 28?No | buy | 3.55 | $0.760 | $2.7 | Feb 7, 2026 |
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by February 28?No | buy | 1.22 | $0.820 | $1 | Feb 7, 2026 |
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Yes | buy | 4.17 | $0.240 | $1 | Feb 7, 2026 |
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 2.44 | $0.410 | $1 | Feb 7, 2026 |
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes | sell | 2.08 | $0.680 | $1.41 | Feb 7, 2026 |
Will Russia capture Lyman by February 28, 2026?No | sell | 1.26 | $0.930 | $1.17 | Feb 7, 2026 |
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by February 28?No | sell | 1.81 | $0.810 | $1.47 | Feb 7, 2026 |
Will Russia enter Sofiivka by January 31?No | buy | 1.32 | $0.760 | $1 | Jan 25, 2026 |
Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by February 28?No | buy | 1.79 | $0.560 | $1 | Jan 25, 2026 |
Will Russia capture Lyman by February 28, 2026?No | buy | 1.27 | $0.790 | $1 | Jan 25, 2026 |
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by February 28?No | buy | 1.82 | $0.550 | $1 | Jan 25, 2026 |
U.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by February 4?No | sell | 1.35 | $0.931 | $1.26 | Jan 25, 2026 |
Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | sell | 1.53 | $0.935 | $1.43 | Jan 25, 2026 |
Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by January 31?No | sell | 1.63 | $0.940 | $1.53 | Jan 25, 2026 |
Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by January 31?No | buy | 1.64 | $0.610 | $1 | Jan 11, 2026 |
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes | buy | 2.08 | $0.480 | $1 | Jan 11, 2026 |
Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition?Yes | sell | 1.96 | $0.320 | $0.63 | Jan 11, 2026 |
China x Japan military clash before 2027?No | buy | 1.16 | $0.860 | $1 | Dec 20, 2025 |
U.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by February 4?No | buy | 1.35 | $0.740 | $1 | Dec 20, 2025 |
Will Russia announce a Christmas truce?No | buy | 1.16 | $0.860 | $1 | Dec 20, 2025 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.28 | $0.780 | $1 | Dec 20, 2025 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?No | buy | 2 | $0.500 | $1 | Dec 20, 2025 |
Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 21?No | buy | 1.45 | $0.690 | $1 | Dec 20, 2025 |
U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship in 2025?Yes | sell | 3.84 | $0.994 | $3.82 | Dec 20, 2025 |
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Brazil" before 2027?Yes | buy | 3.7 | $0.270 | $1 | Dec 19, 2025 |
Maduro out in 2025?No | sell | 1.2 | $0.938 | $1.13 | Dec 19, 2025 |
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?No | sell | 5.26 | $0.015 | $0.08 | Dec 19, 2025 |
Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 19?No | sell | 1.51 | $0.967 | $1.46 | Dec 19, 2025 |
Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 19?No | buy | 1.52 | $0.660 | $1 | Dec 18, 2025 |
AI bubble burst in 2026?Yes | buy | 3.23 | $0.310 | $1 | Dec 18, 2025 |
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?No | sell | 1.81 | $0.850 | $1.54 | Dec 18, 2025 |
U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship in 2025?Yes | buy | 3.85 | $0.260 | $1 | Dec 13, 2025 |
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?No | buy | 5.26 | $0.380 | $2 | Dec 13, 2025 |
Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition?Yes | buy | 1.96 | $0.510 | $1 | Dec 13, 2025 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?No | sell | 1.09 | $0.970 | $1.06 | Dec 13, 2025 |
US strikes Nigeria by December 31?No | sell | 1.11 | $0.970 | $1.08 | Dec 13, 2025 |