Analytics
Yes is at 5.1%, down 12 points from 17.5% when the market opened on 9 Jan 2026.
Across the 264 daily closes on record from 9 Jan 2026 to 28 Oct 2026 (29 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 31% on 12 Mar 2026 and the lowest 1.5% on 19 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 1.5%; a month before, 3%. Its largest one-day move was 8.5 points up, to 21% on 23 Jan 2026.
$1.05K traded in the last 24 hours, out of $101.45K since listing. The order book holds $17.22K, with a 2.1% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 500 trades, $880.79 bought Yes and $2.26K bought No; the largest was a $1.86K sell of No at 93.5¢.
The largest Yes position is baratinhacripto with 3K shares; the largest No position is -wraith- with 5.9K. Ten wallets hold 60.5% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027, 65 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 28, 7:46 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 264 points, 9 Jan 2026 – 28 Oct 2026, chart shows 0%–40%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 9 Jan 2026 | 17.5% |
| 28 Oct 2026 | 3.4% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| -wraith- | No | 5.85K |
| BeginnersLuck2 | No | 3.02K |
| baratinhacripto | Yes | 2.99K |
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any justice of the Brazil Supreme Federal Court (STF) is permanently removed from the court as a result of impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Justices leaving the court due to term limits, voluntary resignation, or any other reason not resulting from impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility will not count. Impeachments, trials for crimes of responsibility, suspensions, or other procedural measures will not alone suffice to resolve this market if they do not result in the permanent removal of a justice from the Brazil Supreme Federal Court. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/any-brazil-stf-justice-removed-by-impeachment-before-2027
| xcaiox |
| No |
| 2.79K |
| Oceanseleven | Yes | 1.45K |
| VLamarca | No | 1.3K |
| Pleasant-Stepson | Yes | 1.23K |
| LornaPredicts | Yes | 1.06K |
| HuntersMethDealer | Yes | 1.02K |
| LongAndWindingRoad | No | 899.44 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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