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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 4.82K | $0.853 | $3.97K | -$134.8 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 1.15K | $0.867 | $998 | 7d ago |
| No |
| 1.8K |
| $0.821 |
| $1.71K |
| +$235.9 |
 Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Yes | 1.25K | $0.635 | $1.16K | +$367.92 |
 Will Harry Kane finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | Yes | 930.23 | $0.860 | $876.28 | +$76.28 |
 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 769.24 | $0.650 | $403.85 | -$96.15 |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | Yes | 307.69 | $0.650 | $243.08 | +$43.08 |
 Will Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election? | Yes | 232.64 | $0.860 | $195.42 | -$4.58 |
 Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 241.19 | $0.365 | $73.56 | -$14.44 |
| Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? | Yes | 1.15K | $0.180 | $59.23 | -$147.78 |
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 4.55 | $0.220 | $2.43 | +$1.43 |
 Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 3.85 | $0.260 | $1.17 | +$0.17 |
 Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 3.18 | $0.314 | $1.14 | +$0.14 |
 Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 1.14 | $0.880 | $0.98 | -$0.02 |
Will Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?Yes| buy |
| 232.64 |
| $0.860 |
| $200 |
| 7d ago |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 287.5 | $0.800 | $230 | 7d ago |
 Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 232.55 | $0.989 | $229.99 | 7d ago |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 452.38 | $0.840 | $380 | 25d ago |
 Trump out as President before 2027?No | sell | 356.89 | $0.930 | $331.91 | 25d ago |
| Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes | buy | 3.85 | $0.260 | $1 | 26d ago |
| Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes | buy | 3.18 | $0.314 | $1 | 26d ago |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 1.18K | $0.845 | $1K | 26d ago |
| Will Harry Kane finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes | buy | 930.23 | $0.860 | $800 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 1.16K | $0.866 | $1K | Aug 7, 2026 |
| Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 232.56 | $0.860 | $200 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 769.23 | $0.650 | $500 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes | buy | 1.14 | $0.880 | $1 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 586.48 | $0.853 | $500 | Aug 7, 2026 |
 Fed rate hike in 2026?Yes | sell | 8.22K | $0.510 | $4.19K | Aug 7, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 1.35 | $0.380 | $0.51 | Jul 31, 2026 |
 Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 1.63 | $0.590 | $0.96 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 4.63K | $0.799 | $3.7K | Jun 18, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 632.91 | $0.790 | $500 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 625.13 | $0.800 | $500 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| Fed rate hike in 2026?Yes | buy | 3.2K | $0.650 | $2.08K | Jun 17, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 2.93K | $0.730 | $2.14K | Jun 17, 2026 |
| Fed rate hike in 2026?Yes | buy | 4.96K | $0.652 | $3.23K | Jun 17, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 3.91K | $0.760 | $2.97K | Jun 17, 2026 |
 Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the July Meeting?Yes | buy | 5.95 | $0.840 | $5 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.35 | $0.740 | $1 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 3.23K | $0.930 | $3K | Jun 13, 2026 |
| Any Brazil STF Justice removed by impeachment before 2027?No | sell | 114.82 | $0.970 | $111.4 | Jun 12, 2026 |
 SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T?No | buy | 520.22 | $0.940 | $489.01 | Jun 11, 2026 |
| SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.8T?No | buy | 263.74 | $0.910 | $240 | Jun 11, 2026 |
 Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?No | sell | 250.1 | $0.973 | $243.35 | Jun 11, 2026 |
| Fed rate hike in 2026?Yes | buy | 63.73 | $0.550 | $35.05 | Jun 10, 2026 |
| SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?Yes | buy | 442.73 | $0.908 | $402 | Jun 10, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 4.55 | $0.220 | $1 | Jun 10, 2026 |
| ECB rate hike in 2026?Yes | sell | 442.93 | $0.993 | $439.83 | Jun 10, 2026 |
| SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T?No | buy | 7.45 | $0.940 | $7 | Jun 7, 2026 |
| SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.8T?No | buy | 444.44 | $0.900 | $400 | Jun 7, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 413.22 | $0.991 | $409.5 | Jun 7, 2026 |
| SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.8T?No | buy | 155.56 | $0.900 | $140 | Jun 7, 2026 |
| Any Brazil STF Justice removed by impeachment before 2027?No | sell | 144.04 | $0.944 | $135.96 | Jun 6, 2026 |
| SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T?No | buy | 978.26 | $0.920 | $900 | Jun 1, 2026 |
 Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 338.98 | $0.885 | $300 | Jun 1, 2026 |
| SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T?No | buy | 108.7 | $0.920 | $100 | Jun 1, 2026 |
 Will Brazil win on 2026-05-31?Yes | sell | 543.46 | $0.999 | $542.92 | May 31, 2026 |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-05-31?Yes | buy | 542.38 | $0.922 | $500 | May 31, 2026 |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-05-31?Yes | buy | 1.09 | $0.920 | $1 | May 31, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 591.4 | $0.930 | $550 | May 19, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.63K | $0.920 | $1.5K | May 13, 2026 |
| Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the June 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 487.8 | $0.820 | $400 | May 13, 2026 |