Analytics
Resolved Yes on 25 Jun 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 100%. Yes opened at 32% on 18 Mar 2026. Before it settled, across the 80 daily closes on record from 18 Mar 2026 to 25 Jun 2026 (20 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 100% on 25 Jun 2026 and the lowest 27.5% on 9 Apr 2026. Its largest one-day move was 14 points up, to 94.5% on 19 May 2026. $3.53M traded over the market's life.
746 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jun 26, 1:47 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 80 points, 18 Mar 2026 – 25 Jun 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 18 Mar 2026 | 32.0% |
| 25 Jun 2026 | 100.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| xiaochang90 | No | 67.25K |
| bettercallfpa | No | 53.39K |
| Brisk-Mammoth | No | 16.78K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Neymar da Silva Santos Júnior takes the field as a player in at least one official match for Brazil during the 2026 FIFA World Cup at the group stage or later. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any on-field appearance as a player will qualify, in regulation, stoppage time, extra time, for a shootout, etc. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-neymar-play-in-the-world-cup
| No |
| 10.74K |
| mde4life1986 | No | 8.8K |
| leegunner | No | 8.64K |
| ajaaja | No | 5.62K |
| yuhyuhyuhy352352 | No | 5.35K |
| dugoubudehaosi | No | 4.88K |
| AAA1110 | No | 3.86K |
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