Analytics
bigshort has made $17.8K on Polymarket, #8,929 on Polymarket's all-time profit board.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 50 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-10-25 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026? | No | 4.09K | $0.846 | $3.87K | +$405.85 |
 Iran nuclear test before 2027? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
This view does not establish the wallet’s complete trading history.
Accepted Polymarket leaderboard snapshot
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-10-25 20:38 UTC
Polymarket public position response
20 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-25 23:43 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
Recent fills unavailable
2026-10-25 23:43 UTC
polymarket positions
51 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-10-05 09:25 UTC
Rank, profit and volume come from Polymarket's leaderboard; positions, the chart and trades are read live. Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $18.13K and losing ones cost $11.52K across the latest 50 settled positions. 68% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $2.92K on “Xi Jinping out in 2025?” (No); the largest loss, $1.67K on “Will "Jake Paul vs. Anthony Joshua" be the top global Netflix show this week? (December 23, 2025)” (Yes).
It has traded 524 markets. Its open positions are worth $21.05K across 20 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| No |
| 3.24K |
| $0.937 |
| $3.11K |
| +$73.26 |
 Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026? | No | 2.83K | $0.931 | $2.62K | -$23.62 |
 Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 3K | $0.500 | $2.39K | +$892.5 |
 Russia military action against an EU country by December 31, 2026? | No | 2K | $0.877 | $1.86K | +$106.07 |
 China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? | No | 1.51K | $0.849 | $1.46K | +$184.22 |
 Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%? | Yes | 1.4K | $0.709 | $1.35K | +$354.47 |
 Will Trump and Putin meet next in China? | Yes | 925.44 | $0.747 | $707.96 | +$16.39 |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 3K | $0.500 | $607.5 | -$892.5 |
 Trump meets with Putin by December 31? | Yes | 685.58 | $0.819 | $569.03 | +$7.57 |
 Will Israel election happen as scheduled? | Yes | 540.27 | $0.914 | $512.18 | +$18.54 |
 Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027? | No | 568.77 | $0.812 | $494.83 | +$33.14 |
 Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027? | No | 500 | $0.900 | $475.5 | +$25.5 |
 Will the UK Budget include an increase to capital gains tax? | No | 450.41 | $0.940 | $444.1 | +$20.72 |
 Will the OpenAI spy be accused of working for China by December 31? | No | 300 | $0.934 | $283.5 | +$3.41 |
 Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election? | No | 299.98 | $0.717 | $201.29 | -$13.7 |
 America.gov removed by October 31? | No | 75.2 | $0.910 | $73.02 | +$4.55 |
 Anthony Albanese out as Prime Minister of Australia by December 31, 2026? | No | 12.58 | $0.850 | $11.93 | +$1.24 |
| Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026? | No | 5 | $0.950 | $4.78 | +$0.03 |
 Will Trump speak to Xi Jinping by October 31? | No | 0.41 | $0.850 | $0.38 | +$0.03 |
4 of 6 axes ranked against the 121 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 2 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.
