Analytics
Yes is at 4.9%, down 46 points from 51% when the market opened on 20 Jan 2026.
Across the 257 daily closes on record from 20 Jan 2026 to 30 Oct 2026 (27 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 51% on 20 Jan 2026 and the lowest 4.1% on 24 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 4.2%; a month before, 5.9%. Its largest one-day move was 18 points down, to 33% on 21 Jan 2026.
$10.7K traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $15.77K, with a 4.3% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 136 trades, $101.72 bought Yes and $4.61K bought No.
The largest Yes position is lstmrnn with 1,000 shares; the largest No position is Donny.T with 365. Ten wallets hold 82.4% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027, 63 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 30, 11:57 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 257 points, 20 Jan 2026 – 30 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 20 Jan 2026 | 51.0% |
| 30 Oct 2026 | 4.9% |
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Anthony Albanese ceases to be the Prime Minister of Australia for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Anthony Albanese's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Australian government and Anthony Albanese; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/anthony-albanese-out-as-prime-minister-of-australia-by
| MaxShorter |
| Yes |
| 214.81 |
| bubububblebutt | No | 210 |
| Dr.mett | No | 179.95 |
| boobahero | Yes | 160.49 |
| Unwilling-Lipoprotein | No | 160.02 |
| wish- | No | 118.36 |
| tomtaplin | No | 111.45 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
